PED vs TPVG vs HRZN vs HTGC

For growth investors, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.

(TPVG) is the stronger pick with 36. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 17. 9% for Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN). PEDEVCO Corp. (PED) offers the better valuation at 3. 5x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate PEDEVCO Corp. (PED) a "Buy" — based on 2 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

On trailing P/E, PEDEVCO Corp.

(PED) is the cheapest at 3. 5x versus Hercules Capital, Inc. at 8. 9x. On forward P/E, Horizon Technology Finance Corporation is actually cheaper at 6. 1x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Horizon Technology Finance Corporation wins at 0. 26x versus TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. 's 6. 41x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.

Over the past 5 years, Hercules Capital, Inc.

(HTGC) delivered a total return of +46. 8%, compared to -49. 6% for PEDEVCO Corp. (PED). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HTGC returned +171. 6% versus PED's -67. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), PEDEVCO Corp.

(PED) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 82β versus TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. 's 0. 83β — meaning TPVG is approximately -202% more volatile than PED relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, PEDEVCO Corp. (PED) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 149% for Horizon Technology Finance Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

By revenue growth (latest reported year), TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.

(TPVG) is pulling ahead at 36. 6% versus 17. 9% for Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: PEDEVCO Corp. grew EPS 65. 7% year-over-year, compared to 14. 9% for Hercules Capital, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

Hercules Capital, Inc.

(HTGC) is the more profitable company, earning 62. 1% net margin versus -6. 6% for Horizon Technology Finance Corporation — meaning it keeps 62. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TPVG leads at 77. 9% versus -4. 0% for HRZN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HTGC leads at 87. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.

By this metric, Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 26x versus TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. 's 6. 41x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN) trades at 6. 1x forward P/E versus 8. 4x for Hercules Capital, Inc. — 2. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TPVG: 49. 4% to $8. 95.

In this comparison, HRZN (27.

8% yield), TPVG (17. 1% yield), HTGC (8. 6% yield) pay a dividend. PED does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.

For long-horizon retirement investors, PEDEVCO Corp.

(PED) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 82)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PED: -67. 1%, TPVG: +93. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

These companies operate in different sectors (PED (Energy) and TPVG (Financial Services) and HRZN (Financial Services) and HTGC (Financial Services)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.

TPVG, HRZN, HTGC pay a dividend while PED does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.