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SA vs NGD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gold
SA vs NGD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Gold | Gold |
| Market Cap | $3.23B | $7.19B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $1.46B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-50M | $856M |
| Gross Margin | — | 51.8% |
| Operating Margin | — | 43.5% |
| Forward P/E | — | 6.6x |
| Total Debt | $564M | $396M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $50M | $330M |
SA vs NGD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seabridge Gold Inc. (SA) | 100 | 195.7 | +95.7% |
| New Gold Inc. (NGD) | 100 | 1109.1 | +1009.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SA vs NGD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SA is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 125.7% 10Y total return vs NGD's 97.4%
- +133.7% vs NGD's +116.2%
NGD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 0.97
- Rev growth 59.7%, EPS growth 6.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 34.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.97, Low D/E 20.7%, current ratio 1.32x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 59.7% revenue growth vs SA's -6.1% | |
| Quality / Margins | 58.6% margin vs SA's 0.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.97 vs SA's 1.21, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +133.7% vs NGD's +116.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 33.8% ROA vs SA's -2.9%, ROIC 29.5% vs -1.3% |
SA vs NGD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NGD leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NGD and SA operate at a comparable scale, with $1.5B and $0 in trailing revenue.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $1.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$22M | $874M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$50M | $856M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$126M | $279M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | +51.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | +43.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | +58.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | +19.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +89.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.2% | +11.1% |
Valuation Metrics
SA leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.2B | $7.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.6B | $7.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -117.86x | 64.86x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 6.62x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 17.69x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 7.78x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.34x | 6.49x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 59.07x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NGD leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NGD delivers a 64.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $65 in annual profit, vs $-5 for SA. NGD carries lower financial leverage with a 0.21x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SA's 0.67x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NGD scores 7/9 vs SA's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -4.7% | +64.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -2.9% | +33.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.3% | +29.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -1.6% | +28.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.67x | 0.21x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $514M | $66M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $50M | $330M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $564M | $396M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -18.32x | 24.33x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NGD leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NGD five years ago would be worth $49,890 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $17,085 for SA. Over the past 12 months, SA leads with a +133.7% total return vs NGD's +116.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NGD at 85.6% vs SA's 24.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +1.8% | +6.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +133.7% | +116.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +91.4% | +539.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +70.8% | +398.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +125.7% | +97.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +24.2% | +85.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SA and NGD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NGD is the less volatile stock with a 0.97 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SA's 1.21 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SA currently trades 75.8% from its 52-week high vs NGD's 66.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.21x | 0.97x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $40.06 | $13.63 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $11.12 | $3.67 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +75.8% | +66.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 41.7 | 35.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 946K | 12.6M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates SA as "Buy" and NGD as "Buy".
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $12.38 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 18 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
NGD leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). SA leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
SA vs NGD: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SA or NGD a better buy right now?
New Gold Inc.
(NGD) offers the better valuation at 64. 9x trailing P/E (6. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Seabridge Gold Inc. (SA) a "Buy" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — SA or NGD?
Over the past 5 years, New Gold Inc.
(NGD) delivered a total return of +398. 9%, compared to +70. 8% for Seabridge Gold Inc. (SA). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SA returned +125. 7% versus NGD's +97. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — SA or NGD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), New Gold Inc.
(NGD) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 97β versus Seabridge Gold Inc. 's 1. 21β — meaning SA is approximately 24% more volatile than NGD relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, New Gold Inc. (NGD) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 21% versus 67% for Seabridge Gold Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — SA or NGD?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: New Gold Inc.
grew EPS 671. 4% year-over-year, compared to 0. 0% for Seabridge Gold Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — SA or NGD?
New Gold Inc.
(NGD) is the more profitable company, earning 58. 1% net margin versus 0. 0% for Seabridge Gold Inc. — meaning it keeps 58. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NGD leads at 44. 4% versus 0. 0% for SA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NGD leads at 53. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — SA or NGD?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is SA or NGD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, New Gold Inc.
(NGD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 97)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NGD: +97. 4%, SA: +125. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between SA and NGD?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: SA is a small-cap quality compounder stock; NGD is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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