Medical - Diagnostics & Research
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SERA vs PGNY
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Medical - Healthcare Information Services
SERA vs PGNY — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Medical - Diagnostics & Research | Medical - Healthcare Information Services |
| Market Cap | $73M | $1.57B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $57K | $1.29B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-32M | $68M |
| Gross Margin | -191.2% | 24.1% |
| Operating Margin | -642.4% | 7.5% |
| Forward P/E | — | 16.4x |
| Total Debt | $2M | $24M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $4M | $112M |
SERA vs PGNY — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sera Prognostics, I… (SERA) | 100 | 17.1 | -82.9% |
| Progyny, Inc. (PGNY) | 100 | 34.4 | -65.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SERA vs PGNY
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
In this particular matchup, SERA is outpaced on most metrics by others in the set.
PGNY carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 0.71
- Rev growth 10.4%, EPS growth 14.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.9%
- 20.2% 10Y total return vs SERA's -83.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 10.4% revenue growth vs SERA's 5.2% | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.2% margin vs SERA's -563.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.71 vs SERA's 1.56 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -18.2% vs SERA's -20.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.0% ROA vs SERA's -30.9%, ROIC 18.1% vs -46.2% |
SERA vs PGNY — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
SERA vs PGNY — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PGNY leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PGNY is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.3B annually — 22686.4x SERA's $57,000. PGNY is the more profitable business, keeping 5.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SERA's -563.9%. On growth, PGNY holds the edge at +1.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $57,000 | $1.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$36M | $100M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$32M | $68M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$28M | $181M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -191.2% | +24.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -642.4% | +7.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -563.9% | +5.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -483.8% | +14.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -63.2% | +1.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +15.0% | +70.6% |
Valuation Metrics
SERA leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $73M | $1.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $72M | $1.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.87x | 29.48x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 16.39x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 4.40x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 16.41x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 905.27x | 1.22x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.21x | 3.32x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 8.18x |
Profitability & Efficiency
PGNY leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
PGNY delivers a 13.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $13 in annual profit, vs $-41 for SERA. SERA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to PGNY's 0.05x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), PGNY scores 6/9 vs SERA's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -41.0% | +13.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -30.9% | +9.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -46.2% | +18.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -58.2% | +17.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.03x | 0.05x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$2M | -$88M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $4M | $112M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2M | $24M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -12560.33x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
PGNY leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PGNY five years ago would be worth $3,705 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,613 for SERA. Over the past 12 months, PGNY leads with a -18.2% total return vs SERA's -20.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors PGNY at -18.1% vs SERA's -18.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -36.0% | -25.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -20.0% | -18.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.1% | -45.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -83.9% | -62.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -83.9% | +20.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -18.1% | -18.1% |
Risk & Volatility
PGNY leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PGNY is the less volatile stock with a 0.71 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SERA's 1.56 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PGNY currently trades 66.6% from its 52-week high vs SERA's 46.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.56x | 0.71x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $4.09 | $28.75 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.37 | $16.10 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +46.9% | +66.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 41.4 | 57.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 55K | 1.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates SERA as "Buy" and PGNY as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 160.4% upside for SERA (target: $5) vs 60.8% for PGNY (target: $31).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.00 | $30.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 5 | 20 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +5.2% |
PGNY leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). SERA leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
SERA vs PGNY: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SERA or PGNY a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Progyny, Inc.
(PGNY) is the stronger pick with 10. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 5. 2% for Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA). Progyny, Inc. (PGNY) offers the better valuation at 29. 5x trailing P/E (16. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA) a "Buy" — based on 5 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — SERA or PGNY?
Over the past 5 years, Progyny, Inc.
(PGNY) delivered a total return of -62. 9%, compared to -83. 9% for Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PGNY returned +20. 2% versus SERA's -83. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — SERA or PGNY?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Progyny, Inc.
(PGNY) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 71β versus Sera Prognostics, Inc. 's 1. 56β — meaning SERA is approximately 120% more volatile than PGNY relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 5% for Progyny, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — SERA or PGNY?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Progyny, Inc.
(PGNY) is pulling ahead at 10. 4% versus 5. 2% for Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Sera Prognostics, Inc. grew EPS 32. 3% year-over-year, compared to 14. 0% for Progyny, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, PGNY leads at 17. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — SERA or PGNY?
Progyny, Inc.
(PGNY) is the more profitable company, earning 4. 5% net margin versus -394. 2% for Sera Prognostics, Inc. — meaning it keeps 4. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PGNY leads at 6. 6% versus -450. 7% for SERA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PGNY leads at 23. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is SERA or PGNY more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SERA: 160.
4% to $5. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — SERA or PGNY?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is SERA or PGNY better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Progyny, Inc.
(PGNY) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 71)). Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA) carries a higher beta of 1. 56 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (PGNY: +20. 2%, SERA: -83. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between SERA and PGNY?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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