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TAP vs ADM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural Farm Products
TAP vs ADM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Beverages - Alcoholic | Agricultural Farm Products |
| Market Cap | $8.10B | $37.36B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $11.19B | $80.61B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-2.11B | $1.08B |
| Gross Margin | 37.8% | 5.8% |
| Operating Margin | -20.3% | 1.5% |
| Forward P/E | 9.2x | 18.6x |
| Total Debt | $6.30B | $8.41B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $897M | $1.01B |
TAP vs ADM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Molson Coors Bevera… (TAP) | 100 | 113.6 | +13.6% |
| Archer-Daniels-Midl… (ADM) | 100 | 197.2 | +97.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TAP vs ADM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TAP is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta -0.01, yield 4.5%
- Rev growth -4.2%, EPS growth -302.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 1.4%
- Beta -0.01, yield 4.5%, current ratio 0.55x
ADM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 147.4% 10Y total return vs TAP's -41.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.12, Low D/E 36.5%, current ratio 11.20x
- 1.3% margin vs TAP's -18.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -4.2% revenue growth vs ADM's -6.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.2x vs 18.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 1.3% margin vs TAP's -18.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (36.5% vs 59.8%) | |
| Dividends | 4.5% yield, 5-year raise streak, vs ADM's 2.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +66.2% vs TAP's -20.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.2% ROA vs TAP's -8.9%, ROIC 3.3% vs -10.1% |
TAP vs ADM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
TAP vs ADM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TAP leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ADM is the larger business by revenue, generating $80.6B annually — 7.2x TAP's $11.2B. ADM is the more profitable business, keeping 1.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to TAP's -18.9%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $11.2B | $80.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$1.5B | $3.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$2.1B | $1.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.2B | $4.8B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +37.8% | +5.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -20.3% | +1.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -18.9% | +1.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +10.4% | +6.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.0% | +1.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +35.6% | +1.6% |
Valuation Metrics
TAP leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $8.1B | $37.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $13.5B | $44.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.98x | 34.77x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.17x | 18.63x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 17.18x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.73x | 0.47x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.80x | 1.63x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 7.58x | 8.89x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ADM leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ADM delivers a 4.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $5 in annual profit, vs $-19 for TAP. ADM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.37x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TAP's 0.60x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ADM scores 6/9 vs TAP's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -18.6% | +4.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -8.9% | +2.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -10.1% | +3.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -11.6% | +4.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.60x | 0.37x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.4B | $7.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $897M | $1.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6.3B | $8.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -9.99x | 3.03x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ADM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ADM five years ago would be worth $12,922 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,585 for TAP. Over the past 12 months, ADM leads with a +66.2% total return vs TAP's -20.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ADM at 3.4% vs TAP's -9.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -8.0% | +32.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -20.8% | +66.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -24.8% | +10.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -14.1% | +29.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -41.4% | +147.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -9.1% | +3.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — TAP and ADM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TAP is the less volatile stock with a -0.01 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ADM's 0.12 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ADM currently trades 94.8% from its 52-week high vs TAP's 74.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.01x | 0.12x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $57.57 | $81.75 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $40.64 | $46.81 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +74.9% | +94.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 47.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.9M | 3.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — TAP and ADM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TAP as "Hold" and ADM as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 12.0% upside for TAP (target: $48) vs -22.6% for ADM (target: $60). For income investors, TAP offers the higher dividend yield at 4.46% vs ADM's 2.63%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $48.30 | $60.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 37 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.5% | +2.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 5 | 31 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.92 | $2.04 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +8.0% | 0.0% |
TAP leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). ADM leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 2 tied.
TAP vs ADM: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TAP or ADM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) is the stronger pick with -4.
2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -6. 2% for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM). Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) offers the better valuation at 34. 8x trailing P/E (18. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) a "Hold" — based on 37 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TAP or ADM?
On forward P/E, Molson Coors Beverage Company is actually cheaper at 9.
2x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TAP or ADM?
Over the past 5 years, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) delivered a total return of +29.
2%, compared to -14. 1% for Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ADM returned +147. 4% versus TAP's -41. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TAP or ADM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
01β versus Archer-Daniels-Midland Company's 0. 12β — meaning ADM is approximately -1050% more volatile than TAP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 37% versus 60% for Molson Coors Beverage Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TAP or ADM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) is pulling ahead at -4.
2% versus -6. 2% for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Archer-Daniels-Midland Company grew EPS -38. 9% year-over-year, compared to -302. 8% for Molson Coors Beverage Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, TAP leads at 1. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TAP or ADM?
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) is the more profitable company, earning 1.
3% net margin versus -19. 2% for Molson Coors Beverage Company — meaning it keeps 1. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ADM leads at 1. 8% versus -21. 0% for TAP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TAP leads at 37. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TAP or ADM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) trades at 9.
2x forward P/E versus 18. 6x for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company — 9. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TAP: 12. 0% to $48. 30.
08Which pays a better dividend — TAP or ADM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) offers the highest yield at 4. 5%, versus 2. 6% for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM).
09Is TAP or ADM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
12), 2. 6% yield, +147. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ADM: +147. 4%, TAP: -41. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TAP and ADM?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: TAP is a small-cap income-oriented stock; ADM is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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