Industrial Materials
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TMC vs MP
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Industrial Materials
TMC vs MP — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial Materials | Industrial Materials |
| Market Cap | $2.55B | $12.91B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $275M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-296M | $-86M |
| Gross Margin | — | 5.8% |
| Operating Margin | — | -53.0% |
| Forward P/E | — | 274.3x |
| Total Debt | $12M | $1.04B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3M | $1.17B |
TMC vs MP — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Sep 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| TMC the metals comp… (TMC) | 100 | 124.7 | +24.7% |
| MP Materials Corp. (MP) | 100 | 214.5 | +114.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TMC vs MP
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TMC is the clearest fit if your priority is quality.
- -3.9% margin vs MP's -31.2%
MP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 1.40
- Rev growth 35.1%, EPS growth 12.3%, 3Y rev CAGR -19.5%
- 6.3% 10Y total return vs TMC's -34.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 35.1% revenue growth vs TMC's -162.0% | |
| Quality / Margins | -3.9% margin vs MP's -31.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.40 vs TMC's 2.37 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +194.2% vs TMC's +99.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -2.7% ROA vs TMC's -168.3% |
TMC vs MP — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
TMC vs MP — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MP leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MP and TMC operate at a comparable scale, with $275M and $0 in trailing revenue.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $275M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$111M | -$56M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$296M | -$86M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$45M | -$328M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | +5.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | -53.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | -31.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | -119.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +70.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -8.0% | +133.8% |
Valuation Metrics
MP leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.5B | $12.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.6B | $12.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -24.64x | -145.30x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 274.33x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 46.86x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 5.17x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
MP leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MP scores 4/9 vs TMC's 2/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | -5.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -168.3% | -2.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | -4.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -3.5% | -4.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.44x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $8M | -$123M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $3M | $1.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $12M | $1.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -105.76x | -2.74x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MP leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MP five years ago would be worth $24,787 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,546 for TMC. Over the past 12 months, MP leads with a +194.2% total return vs TMC's +99.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TMC at 100.4% vs MP's 50.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -9.1% | +32.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +99.4% | +194.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +705.2% | +238.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -34.5% | +147.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -34.5% | +626.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +100.4% | +50.1% |
Risk & Volatility
MP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MP is the less volatile stock with a 1.40 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TMC's 2.37 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MP currently trades 72.5% from its 52-week high vs TMC's 54.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.37x | 1.40x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $11.35 | $100.25 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $2.81 | $18.64 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +54.3% | +72.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.2 | 61.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.4M | 5.6M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TMC as "Buy" and MP as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 94.8% upside for TMC (target: $12) vs 7.7% for MP (target: $78).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.00 | $78.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 2 | 11 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
MP leads in 5 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics.
TMC vs MP: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TMC or MP a better buy right now?
Analysts rate TMC the metals company Inc.
(TMC) a "Buy" — based on 2 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — TMC or MP?
Over the past 5 years, MP Materials Corp.
(MP) delivered a total return of +147. 9%, compared to -34. 5% for TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MP returned +591. 3% versus TMC's -39. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — TMC or MP?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), MP Materials Corp.
(MP) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 40β versus TMC the metals company Inc. 's 2. 37β — meaning TMC is approximately 70% more volatile than MP relative to the S&P 500.
04Which has better profit margins — TMC or MP?
TMC the metals company Inc.
(TMC) is the more profitable company, earning 0. 0% net margin versus -31. 2% for MP Materials Corp. — meaning it keeps 0. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TMC leads at 0. 0% versus -44. 6% for MP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TMC leads at 0. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
05Is TMC or MP more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TMC: 94.
8% to $12. 00.
06Which pays a better dividend — TMC or MP?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is TMC or MP better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, MP Materials Corp.
(MP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+591. 3% 10Y return). TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) carries a higher beta of 2. 37 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MP: +591. 3%, TMC: -39. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between TMC and MP?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: TMC is a small-cap quality compounder stock; MP is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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