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TPB vs WMT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Retail
TPB vs WMT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Tobacco | Specialty Retail |
| Market Cap | $1.75B | $1.04T |
| Revenue (TTM) | $481M | $703.06B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $58M | $22.91B |
| Gross Margin | 56.8% | 24.9% |
| Operating Margin | 17.6% | 4.1% |
| Forward P/E | 35.4x | 44.7x |
| Total Debt | $309M | $67.09B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $223M | $10.73B |
TPB vs WMT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turning Point Brand… (TPB) | 100 | 376.4 | +276.4% |
| Walmart Inc. (WMT) | 100 | 314.9 | +214.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TPB vs WMT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TPB carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 28.4%, EPS growth 45.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 13.0%
- 8.1% 10Y total return vs WMT's 499.5%
- PEG 2.67 vs WMT's 4.06
WMT is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 37 yrs, beta 0.12, yield 0.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.12, Low D/E 67.2%, current ratio 0.79x
- Beta 0.12, yield 0.7%, current ratio 0.79x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 28.4% revenue growth vs WMT's 4.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (35.4x vs 44.7x), PEG 2.67 vs 4.06 | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.0% margin vs WMT's 3.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.12 vs TPB's 0.57, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.7% yield, 37-year raise streak, vs TPB's 0.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +32.7% vs TPB's +11.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.0% ROA vs WMT's 7.9%, ROIC 16.6% vs 14.7% |
TPB vs WMT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
TPB vs WMT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TPB leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WMT is the larger business by revenue, generating $703.1B annually — 1462.0x TPB's $481M. TPB is the more profitable business, keeping 12.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to WMT's 3.3%. On growth, TPB holds the edge at +16.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $481M | $703.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $91M | $42.8B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $58M | $22.9B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $4M | $15.3B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +56.8% | +24.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +17.6% | +4.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.0% | +3.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.8% | +2.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.8% | +5.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -8.9% | +35.1% |
Valuation Metrics
TPB leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 29.0x trailing earnings, TPB trades at a 39% valuation discount to WMT's 47.7x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TPB offers better value at 2.19x vs WMT's 4.33x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.7B | $1.04T |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.8B | $1.09T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 29.03x | 47.69x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 35.37x | 44.71x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.19x | 4.33x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 17.84x | 24.85x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.77x | 1.46x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.55x | 10.45x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 39.83x | 24.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
TPB leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
WMT delivers a 22.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $22 in annual profit, vs $17 for TPB. WMT carries lower financial leverage with a 0.67x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TPB's 0.83x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TPB scores 7/9 vs WMT's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +17.0% | +22.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.0% | +7.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +16.6% | +14.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +16.8% | +17.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.83x | 0.67x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $86M | $56.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $223M | $10.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $309M | $67.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.00x | 11.85x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — TPB and WMT each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in WMT five years ago would be worth $28,695 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $19,451 for TPB. Over the past 12 months, WMT leads with a +32.7% total return vs TPB's +11.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TPB at 61.2% vs WMT's 37.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -18.0% | +15.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +11.8% | +32.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +318.7% | +160.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +94.5% | +186.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +811.6% | +499.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +61.2% | +37.6% |
Risk & Volatility
WMT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
WMT is the less volatile stock with a 0.12 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TPB's 0.57 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. WMT currently trades 96.7% from its 52-week high vs TPB's 61.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.57x | 0.12x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $146.90 | $134.69 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $65.80 | $91.89 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +61.5% | +96.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.9 | 55.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 521K | 17.2M |
Analyst Outlook
WMT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TPB as "Buy" and WMT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 44.0% upside for TPB (target: $130) vs 5.3% for WMT (target: $137). For income investors, WMT offers the higher dividend yield at 0.72% vs TPB's 0.33%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $130.00 | $137.04 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 64 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.3% | +0.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 37 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.29 | $0.94 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | +0.8% |
TPB leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). WMT leads in 2 (Risk & Volatility, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
TPB vs WMT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TPB or WMT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Turning Point Brands, Inc.
(TPB) is the stronger pick with 28. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 7% for Walmart Inc. (WMT). Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) offers the better valuation at 29. 0x trailing P/E (35. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TPB or WMT?
On trailing P/E, Turning Point Brands, Inc.
(TPB) is the cheapest at 29. 0x versus Walmart Inc. at 47. 7x. On forward P/E, Turning Point Brands, Inc. is actually cheaper at 35. 4x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Turning Point Brands, Inc. wins at 2. 67x versus Walmart Inc. 's 4. 06x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TPB or WMT?
Over the past 5 years, Walmart Inc.
(WMT) delivered a total return of +186. 9%, compared to +94. 5% for Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TPB returned +811. 6% versus WMT's +499. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TPB or WMT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 12β versus Turning Point Brands, Inc. 's 0. 57β — meaning TPB is approximately 389% more volatile than WMT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Walmart Inc. (WMT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 67% versus 83% for Turning Point Brands, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TPB or WMT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Turning Point Brands, Inc.
(TPB) is pulling ahead at 28. 4% versus 4. 7% for Walmart Inc. (WMT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Turning Point Brands, Inc. grew EPS 45. 3% year-over-year, compared to 13. 3% for Walmart Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, TPB leads at 13. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TPB or WMT?
Turning Point Brands, Inc.
(TPB) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 6% net margin versus 3. 1% for Walmart Inc. — meaning it keeps 12. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TPB leads at 20. 6% versus 4. 2% for WMT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TPB leads at 57. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TPB or WMT more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 2. 67x versus Walmart Inc. 's 4. 06x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) trades at 35. 4x forward P/E versus 44. 7x for Walmart Inc. — 9. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TPB: 44. 0% to $130. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — TPB or WMT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Walmart Inc. (WMT) offers the highest yield at 0. 7%, versus 0. 3% for Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB).
09Is TPB or WMT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 12), 0. 7% yield, +499. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (WMT: +499. 5%, TPB: +811. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TPB and WMT?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: TPB is a small-cap high-growth stock; WMT is a mega-cap quality compounder stock. WMT pays a dividend while TPB does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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