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TRN vs SPIR vs ASTS vs GNSS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Business Services
Communication Equipment
Hardware, Equipment & Parts
TRN vs SPIR vs ASTS vs GNSS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Railroads | Specialty Business Services | Communication Equipment | Hardware, Equipment & Parts |
| Market Cap | $2.93B | $529.86B | $19.12B | $90M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.06B | $72M | $71M | $51M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $255M | $-25.02B | $-342M | $-15M |
| Gross Margin | 27.0% | 40.8% | 53.4% | 43.2% |
| Operating Margin | 16.6% | -121.4% | -405.7% | -22.1% |
| Forward P/E | 18.8x | 10.0x | — | — |
| Total Debt | $5.44B | $8.76B | $32M | $21M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $201M | $24.81B | $2.34B | $8M |
TRN vs SPIR vs ASTS vs GNSS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Nov 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trinity Industries,… (TRN) | 100 | 160.4 | +60.4% |
| Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) | 100 | 20.5 | -79.5% |
| AST SpaceMobile, In… (ASTS) | 100 | 645.4 | +545.4% |
| Genasys Inc. (GNSS) | 100 | 28.2 | -71.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TRN vs SPIR vs ASTS vs GNSS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TRN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 0.97, yield 3.2%
- Beta 0.97, yield 3.2%, current ratio 2.12x
- 12.4% margin vs SPIR's -349.6%
- 3.2% yield; 15-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend
SPIR is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Better valuation composite
ASTS is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure and long-term compounding is your priority.
- Rev growth 15.1%, EPS growth 30.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 72.5%
- 5.7% 10Y total return vs TRN's 261.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.82, Low D/E 1.1%, current ratio 16.35x
- 15.1% revenue growth vs SPIR's -35.2%
GNSS is the clearest fit if your priority is stability.
- Beta 0.87 vs SPIR's 2.93
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.1% revenue growth vs SPIR's -35.2% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.4% margin vs SPIR's -349.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.87 vs SPIR's 2.93 | |
| Dividends | 3.2% yield; 15-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +158.1% vs GNSS's +2.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.0% ROA vs SPIR's -47.3%, ROIC 4.1% vs -0.1% |
TRN vs SPIR vs ASTS vs GNSS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
TRN vs SPIR vs ASTS vs GNSS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
TRN leads in 3 of 6 categories
ASTS leads 1 • SPIR leads 0 • GNSS leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — TRN and ASTS and GNSS each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TRN is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.1B annually — 40.6x GNSS's $51M. TRN is the more profitable business, keeping 12.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPIR's -349.6%. On growth, ASTS holds the edge at +27.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.1B | $72M | $71M | $51M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $646M | -$74M | -$237M | -$9M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $255M | -$25.0B | -$342M | -$15M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$283M | -$16.2B | -$1.1B | -$3M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +27.0% | +40.8% | +53.4% | +43.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +16.6% | -121.4% | -4.1% | -22.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.4% | -349.6% | -4.8% | -29.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -13.7% | -227.0% | -16.0% | -5.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -16.0% | -26.9% | +27.3% | +145.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +15.4% | +59.5% | -55.6% | +78.0% |
Valuation Metrics
TRN leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.0x trailing earnings, SPIR trades at a 17% valuation discount to TRN's 12.0x P/E.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.9B | $529.9B | $19.1B | $90M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $8.2B | $513.8B | $16.8B | $104M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 12.01x | 10.01x | -48.76x | -5.00x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 18.79x | — | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.31x | — | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.36x | 7405.21x | 269.64x | 2.22x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.65x | 4.56x | 5.68x | 41.58x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
TRN leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
TRN delivers a 21.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $21 in annual profit, vs $-8 for GNSS. ASTS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GNSS's 9.85x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TRN scores 8/9 vs GNSS's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +21.3% | -88.4% | -21.1% | -8.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.0% | -47.3% | -12.6% | -22.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.1% | -0.1% | -47.1% | -56.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +4.7% | -0.1% | -10.0% | -68.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 4.75x | 0.08x | 0.01x | 9.85x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.2B | -$16.1B | -$2.3B | $13M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $201M | $24.8B | $2.3B | $8M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.4B | $8.8B | $32M | $21M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.29x | 9.20x | -21.20x | -31.66x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ASTS leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ASTS five years ago would be worth $78,824 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,035 for SPIR. Over the past 12 months, ASTS leads with a +158.1% total return vs GNSS's +2.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ASTS at 134.8% vs GNSS's -11.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +38.3% | +106.4% | -21.7% | -8.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +57.0% | +73.1% | +158.1% | +2.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +88.1% | +198.1% | +1194.0% | -31.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +40.2% | -79.6% | +688.2% | -66.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +261.3% | -78.8% | +568.8% | +14.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +23.4% | +43.9% | +134.8% | -11.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — TRN and GNSS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GNSS is the less volatile stock with a 0.87 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SPIR's 2.93 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TRN currently trades 98.3% from its 52-week high vs ASTS's 50.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.97x | 2.93x | 2.82x | 0.87x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $37.27 | $23.59 | $129.89 | $2.70 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $22.38 | $6.60 | $22.47 | $1.40 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.3% | +68.3% | +50.3% | +74.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 64.1 | 55.5 | 41.8 | 59.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 575K | 1.6M | 14.9M | 95K |
Analyst Outlook
TRN leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: TRN as "Hold", SPIR as "Buy", ASTS as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 58.6% upside for ASTS (target: $104) vs -4.5% for TRN (target: $35). TRN is the only dividend payer here at 3.25% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Buy | — |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $35.00 | $17.25 | $103.65 | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 25 | 12 | 7 | — |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.2% | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 15 | — | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.19 | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
TRN leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). ASTS leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
TRN vs SPIR vs ASTS vs GNSS: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TRN or SPIR or ASTS or GNSS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is the stronger pick with 1505% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) offers the better valuation at 10. 0x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TRN or SPIR or ASTS or GNSS?
On trailing P/E, Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the cheapest at 10. 0x versus Trinity Industries, Inc. at 12. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TRN or SPIR or ASTS or GNSS?
Over the past 5 years, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) delivered a total return of +688. 2%, compared to -79. 6% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ASTS returned +568. 8% versus SPIR's -78. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TRN or SPIR or ASTS or GNSS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Genasys Inc.
(GNSS) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 87β versus Spire Global, Inc. 's 2. 93β — meaning SPIR is approximately 238% more volatile than GNSS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 10% for Genasys Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TRN or SPIR or ASTS or GNSS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is pulling ahead at 1505% versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Spire Global, Inc. grew EPS 137. 8% year-over-year, compared to 30. 9% for AST SpaceMobile, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ASTS leads at 72. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TRN or SPIR or ASTS or GNSS?
Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the more profitable company, earning 71. 7% net margin versus -482. 2% for AST SpaceMobile, Inc. — meaning it keeps 71. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TRN leads at 16. 6% versus -405. 7% for ASTS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ASTS leads at 53. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TRN or SPIR or ASTS or GNSS more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ASTS: 58.
6% to $103. 65.
08Which pays a better dividend — TRN or SPIR or ASTS or GNSS?
In this comparison, TRN (3.
2% yield) pays a dividend. SPIR, ASTS, GNSS do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is TRN or SPIR or ASTS or GNSS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Trinity Industries, Inc.
(TRN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 97), 3. 2% yield, +261. 3% 10Y return). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a higher beta of 2. 93 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (TRN: +261. 3%, SPIR: -78. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TRN and SPIR and ASTS and GNSS?
These companies operate in different sectors (TRN (Industrials) and SPIR (Industrials) and ASTS (Technology) and GNSS (Technology)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: TRN is a small-cap deep-value stock; SPIR is a large-cap deep-value stock; ASTS is a mid-cap high-growth stock; GNSS is a small-cap high-growth stock. TRN pays a dividend while SPIR, ASTS, GNSS do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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