Airlines, Airports & Air Services
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ULCC vs AAL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
ULCC vs AAL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services |
| Market Cap | $1.10B | $8.54B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.80B | $55.99B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-366M | $202M |
| Gross Margin | 31.2% | 21.8% |
| Operating Margin | -10.1% | 3.0% |
| Forward P/E | — | 76.1x |
| Total Debt | $5.46B | $35.97B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $671M | $1.69B |
ULCC vs AAL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frontier Group Hold… (ULCC) | 100 | 22.7 | -77.3% |
| American Airlines G… (AAL) | 100 | 59.6 | -40.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ULCC vs AAL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ULCC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 2.84
- +39.4% vs AAL's +24.1%
AAL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 0.8%, EPS growth -86.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.7%
- -56.3% 10Y total return vs ULCC's -74.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.96, current ratio 0.50x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.8% revenue growth vs ULCC's -1.4% | |
| Quality / Margins | 0.4% margin vs ULCC's -9.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.96 vs ULCC's 2.84 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +39.4% vs AAL's +24.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 0.3% ROA vs ULCC's -5.3%, ROIC 3.5% vs -2.3% |
ULCC vs AAL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ULCC vs AAL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AAL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AAL is the larger business by revenue, generating $56.0B annually — 14.7x ULCC's $3.8B. AAL is the more profitable business, keeping 0.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ULCC's -9.6%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.8B | $56.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$253M | $3.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$366M | $202M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$509M | $1.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +31.2% | +21.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -10.1% | +3.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -9.6% | +0.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -13.4% | +3.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.8% | +10.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.2% | +19.4% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — ULCC and AAL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.1B | $8.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.9B | $42.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -7.97x | 76.12x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 12.44x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.29x | 0.16x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.24x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
AAL leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AAL scores 6/9 vs ULCC's 0/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -88.6% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -5.3% | +0.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -2.3% | +3.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -3.2% | +3.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 0 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 11.13x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.8B | $34.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $671M | $1.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.5B | $36.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -40.00x | 2.45x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AAL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AAL five years ago would be worth $6,021 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,385 for ULCC. Over the past 12 months, ULCC leads with a +39.4% total return vs AAL's +24.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AAL at -3.4% vs ULCC's -16.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.6% | -16.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +39.4% | +24.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -41.0% | -9.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -76.1% | -39.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -74.6% | -56.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -16.1% | -3.4% |
Risk & Volatility
AAL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AAL is the less volatile stock with a 1.96 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ULCC's 2.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AAL currently trades 78.4% from its 52-week high vs ULCC's 71.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.84x | 1.96x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $6.66 | $16.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.02 | $10.09 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +71.8% | +78.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.2 | 58.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.6M | 67.6M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ULCC as "Hold" and AAL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 39.5% upside for ULCC (target: $7) vs 22.9% for AAL (target: $16).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $6.67 | $15.90 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 13 | 37 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
AAL leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Profitability & Efficiency. 1 category is tied.
ULCC vs AAL: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ULCC or AAL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, American Airlines Group Inc.
(AAL) is the stronger pick with 0. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 4% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC). American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) offers the better valuation at 76. 1x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) a "Buy" — based on 37 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ULCC or AAL?
Over the past 5 years, American Airlines Group Inc.
(AAL) delivered a total return of -39. 8%, compared to -76. 1% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AAL returned -56. 3% versus ULCC's -74. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ULCC or AAL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), American Airlines Group Inc.
(AAL) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 96β versus Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 84β — meaning ULCC is approximately 45% more volatile than AAL relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — ULCC or AAL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), American Airlines Group Inc.
(AAL) is pulling ahead at 0. 8% versus -1. 4% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: American Airlines Group Inc. grew EPS -86. 3% year-over-year, compared to -257. 9% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ULCC leads at 3. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ULCC or AAL?
American Airlines Group Inc.
(AAL) is the more profitable company, earning 0. 2% net margin versus -3. 7% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 0. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AAL leads at 2. 7% versus -4. 0% for ULCC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ULCC leads at 35. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — ULCC or AAL?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is ULCC or AAL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, American Airlines Group Inc.
(AAL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) carries a higher beta of 2. 84 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (AAL: -56. 3%, ULCC: -74. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between ULCC and AAL?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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