Airlines, Airports & Air Services
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ULCC vs SKYW
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
ULCC vs SKYW — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services |
| Market Cap | $1.25B | $3.52B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.80B | $4.12B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-366M | $429M |
| Gross Margin | 31.2% | 41.9% |
| Operating Margin | -11.4% | 14.6% |
| Forward P/E | — | 8.0x |
| Total Debt | $5.46B | $2.39B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $671M | — |
ULCC vs SKYW — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frontier Group Hold… (ULCC) | 100 | 25.8 | -74.2% |
| SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) | 100 | 176.5 | +76.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ULCC vs SKYW
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ULCC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 2.84
- +55.6% vs SKYW's -9.6%
SKYW carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 15.0%, EPS growth 33.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 10.5%
- 282.0% 10Y total return vs ULCC's -71.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.49, Low D/E 87.1%, current ratio 0.65x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.0% revenue growth vs ULCC's -1.4% | |
| Quality / Margins | 10.4% margin vs ULCC's -9.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.49 vs ULCC's 2.84, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +55.6% vs SKYW's -9.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.9% ROA vs ULCC's -5.3%, ROIC 9.2% vs -2.3% |
ULCC vs SKYW — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ULCC vs SKYW — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SKYW leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SKYW and ULCC operate at a comparable scale, with $4.1B and $3.8B in trailing revenue. SKYW is the more profitable business, keeping 10.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ULCC's -9.6%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.8B | $4.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$300M | $967M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$366M | $429M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$481M | $339M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +31.2% | +41.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -11.4% | +14.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -9.6% | +10.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -12.6% | +8.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.8% | +6.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.2% | +3.3% |
Valuation Metrics
ULCC leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.2B | $3.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.0B | $5.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -9.05x | 8.47x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 8.01x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 6.02x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.34x | 0.87x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.54x | 1.32x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 12.27x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SKYW leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SKYW delivers a 16.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $-89 for ULCC. SKYW carries lower financial leverage with a 0.87x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ULCC's 11.13x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SKYW scores 8/9 vs ULCC's 0/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -88.6% | +16.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -5.3% | +5.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -2.3% | +9.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -3.2% | +10.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 0 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 11.13x | 0.87x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.8B | $2.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $671M | — |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.5B | $2.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -29.29x | 9.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SKYW leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SKYW five years ago would be worth $17,693 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,633 for ULCC. Over the past 12 months, ULCC leads with a +55.6% total return vs SKYW's -9.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SKYW at 47.4% vs ULCC's -12.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +18.8% | -13.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +55.6% | -9.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -33.0% | +220.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -73.7% | +76.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -71.2% | +282.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -12.5% | +47.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ULCC and SKYW each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SKYW is the less volatile stock with a 1.49 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ULCC's 2.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ULCC currently trades 81.5% from its 52-week high vs SKYW's 70.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.84x | 1.49x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $6.66 | $123.94 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.02 | $80.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +81.5% | +70.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 65.4 | 47.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.8M | 379K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ULCC as "Hold" and SKYW as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 39.2% upside for SKYW (target: $122) vs 22.8% for ULCC (target: $7).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $6.67 | $122.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 13 | 17 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.4% |
SKYW leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ULCC leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
ULCC vs SKYW: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ULCC or SKYW a better buy right now?
For growth investors, SkyWest, Inc.
(SKYW) is the stronger pick with 15. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 4% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC). SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) offers the better valuation at 8. 5x trailing P/E (8. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) a "Buy" — based on 17 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ULCC or SKYW?
Over the past 5 years, SkyWest, Inc.
(SKYW) delivered a total return of +76. 9%, compared to -73. 7% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SKYW returned +282. 0% versus ULCC's -71. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ULCC or SKYW?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), SkyWest, Inc.
(SKYW) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 49β versus Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 84β — meaning ULCC is approximately 91% more volatile than SKYW relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 87% versus 11% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ULCC or SKYW?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), SkyWest, Inc.
(SKYW) is pulling ahead at 15. 0% versus -1. 4% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: SkyWest, Inc. grew EPS 33. 2% year-over-year, compared to -257. 9% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SKYW leads at 10. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ULCC or SKYW?
SkyWest, Inc.
(SKYW) is the more profitable company, earning 10. 6% net margin versus -3. 7% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 10. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SKYW leads at 15. 2% versus -4. 0% for ULCC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SKYW leads at 61. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is ULCC or SKYW more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SKYW: 39.
2% to $122. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — ULCC or SKYW?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is ULCC or SKYW better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, SkyWest, Inc.
(SKYW) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+282. 0% 10Y return). Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) carries a higher beta of 2. 84 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SKYW: +282. 0%, ULCC: -71. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between ULCC and SKYW?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ULCC is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SKYW is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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