Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
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VTS vs NOG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
VTS vs NOG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| Market Cap | $757M | $2.53B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $275M | $2.06B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-20M | $-623M |
| Gross Margin | 11.5% | 30.6% |
| Operating Margin | 6.4% | 26.0% |
| Forward P/E | 43.0x | 6.8x |
| Total Debt | $129M | $2.40B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1M | $14M |
VTS vs NOG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jan 23 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) | 100 | 113.8 | +13.8% |
| Northern Oil and Ga… (NOG) | 100 | 71.4 | -28.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: VTS vs NOG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
VTS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.39, yield 12.8%
- Rev growth 13.2%, EPS growth 0.0%, 3Y rev CAGR -0.9%
- 42.4% 10Y total return vs NOG's -34.4%
NOG is the clearest fit if your priority is value and momentum.
- Lower P/E (6.8x vs 43.0x)
- +5.3% vs VTS's +0.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.2% revenue growth vs NOG's -3.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.8x vs 43.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | -7.1% margin vs NOG's -30.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.39 vs NOG's 0.60, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 12.8% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs NOG's 7.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +5.3% vs VTS's +0.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -2.1% ROA vs NOG's -11.3%, ROIC 1.9% vs 10.0% |
VTS vs NOG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
VTS vs NOG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — VTS and NOG each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NOG is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.1B annually — 7.5x VTS's $275M. VTS is the more profitable business, keeping -7.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NOG's -30.3%. On growth, VTS holds the edge at +1.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $275M | $2.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $152M | $1.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$20M | -$623M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $92M | -$115M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +11.5% | +30.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +6.4% | +26.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.1% | -30.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +33.6% | -5.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.9% | -6.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -14.8% | -4.8% |
Valuation Metrics
NOG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 28.4x trailing earnings, VTS trades at a 54% valuation discount to NOG's 61.4x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, NOG's 3.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than VTS's 6.0x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $757M | $2.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $885M | $4.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 28.38x | 61.38x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 42.95x | 6.80x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.04x | 3.44x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.76x | 1.21x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.14x | 1.12x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 4.45x | 10.02x |
Profitability & Efficiency
VTS leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
VTS delivers a -3.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-3 in annual profit, vs $-29 for NOG. VTS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.21x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NOG's 1.13x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), VTS scores 7/9 vs NOG's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -3.1% | -29.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -2.1% | -11.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.9% | +10.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.2% | +12.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.21x | 1.13x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $128M | $2.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1M | $14M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $129M | $2.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.69x | 0.94x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — VTS and NOG each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NOG five years ago would be worth $18,177 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,241 for VTS. Over the past 12 months, NOG leads with a +5.3% total return vs VTS's +0.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors VTS at 10.5% vs NOG's -3.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -6.6% | +10.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +0.6% | +5.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +35.1% | -9.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +42.4% | +81.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +42.4% | -34.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.5% | -3.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — VTS and NOG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
VTS is the less volatile stock with a 0.39 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NOG's 0.60 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NOG currently trades 73.4% from its 52-week high vs VTS's 66.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.39x | 0.60x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $27.15 | $32.62 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $17.22 | $20.18 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +66.9% | +73.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.4 | 37.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 583K | 2.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — VTS and NOG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates VTS as "Buy" and NOG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 56.9% upside for VTS (target: $29) vs 21.1% for NOG (target: $29). For income investors, VTS offers the higher dividend yield at 12.83% vs NOG's 7.29%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $28.50 | $29.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 5 | 13 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +12.8% | +7.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.33 | $1.75 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.3% |
NOG leads in 1 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics). VTS leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 4 tied.
VTS vs NOG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is VTS or NOG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Vitesse Energy, Inc.
(VTS) is the stronger pick with 13. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 2% for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG). Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) offers the better valuation at 28. 4x trailing P/E (43. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) a "Buy" — based on 5 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — VTS or NOG?
On trailing P/E, Vitesse Energy, Inc.
(VTS) is the cheapest at 28. 4x versus Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. at 61. 4x. On forward P/E, Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. is actually cheaper at 6. 8x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — VTS or NOG?
Over the past 5 years, Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.
(NOG) delivered a total return of +81. 8%, compared to +42. 4% for Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: VTS returned +42. 4% versus NOG's -34. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — VTS or NOG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Vitesse Energy, Inc.
(VTS) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 39β versus Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. 's 0. 60β — meaning NOG is approximately 53% more volatile than VTS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 21% versus 113% for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — VTS or NOG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Vitesse Energy, Inc.
(VTS) is pulling ahead at 13. 2% versus -3. 2% for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Vitesse Energy, Inc. grew EPS 0. 0% year-over-year, compared to -92. 4% for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NOG leads at 1. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — VTS or NOG?
Vitesse Energy, Inc.
(VTS) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 2% net margin versus 1. 9% for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. — meaning it keeps 9. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NOG leads at 29. 3% versus 6. 3% for VTS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NOG leads at 32. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is VTS or NOG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.
(NOG) trades at 6. 8x forward P/E versus 43. 0x for Vitesse Energy, Inc. — 36. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for VTS: 56. 9% to $28. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — VTS or NOG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) offers the highest yield at 12. 8%, versus 7. 3% for Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG).
09Is VTS or NOG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Vitesse Energy, Inc.
(VTS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 39), 12. 8% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (VTS: +42. 4%, NOG: -34. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between VTS and NOG?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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