Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
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WFG vs LPX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
WFG vs LPX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products |
| Market Cap | $4.78B | $5.28B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.81B | $2.56B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-1.46B | $82M |
| Gross Margin | 2.0% | 19.8% |
| Operating Margin | -12.8% | 5.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 29.9x |
| Total Debt | $457M | $401M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $277M | $292M |
WFG vs LPX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Fraser Timber … (WFG) | 100 | 233.3 | +133.3% |
| Louisiana-Pacific C… (LPX) | 100 | 319.9 | +219.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: WFG vs LPX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
WFG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 10 yrs, beta 0.66, yield 2.1%
- Rev growth 23.5%, EPS growth -222.8%, 3Y rev CAGR -7.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.66, Low D/E 5.7%, current ratio 2.13x
LPX is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 346.8% 10Y total return vs WFG's 117.5%
- 3.2% margin vs WFG's -25.2%
- 3.1% ROA vs WFG's -15.2%, ROIC 10.9% vs -6.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 23.5% revenue growth vs LPX's -7.9% | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.2% margin vs WFG's -25.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.66 vs LPX's 1.20, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.1% yield, 10-year raise streak, vs LPX's 1.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -13.5% vs LPX's -14.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.1% ROA vs WFG's -15.2%, ROIC 10.9% vs -6.8% |
WFG vs LPX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
WFG vs LPX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LPX leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WFG is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.8B annually — 2.3x LPX's $2.6B. LPX is the more profitable business, keeping 3.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to WFG's -25.2%. On growth, WFG holds the edge at -8.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.8B | $2.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$139M | $246M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$1.5B | $82M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$632M | -$7M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +2.0% | +19.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -12.8% | +5.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -25.2% | +3.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -10.9% | -0.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -8.6% | -20.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.6% | -70.0% |
Valuation Metrics
WFG leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, LPX's 13.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than WFG's 69.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.8B | $5.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.9B | $5.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -5.18x | 36.32x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 29.89x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 69.52x | 13.33x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.85x | 1.95x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.85x | 3.05x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 57.98x |
Profitability & Efficiency
LPX leads this category, winning 7 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LPX delivers a 4.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $5 in annual profit, vs $-20 for WFG. WFG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LPX's 0.23x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -19.9% | +4.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -15.2% | +3.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -6.8% | +10.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -7.6% | +11.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.06x | 0.23x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $180M | $109M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $277M | $292M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $457M | $401M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -8.07x | 11.67x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LPX leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LPX five years ago would be worth $11,049 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,938 for WFG. Over the past 12 months, WFG leads with a -13.5% total return vs LPX's -14.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LPX at 7.6% vs WFG's -4.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +0.6% | -7.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -13.5% | -14.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -13.2% | +24.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -20.6% | +10.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +117.5% | +346.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -4.6% | +7.6% |
Risk & Volatility
WFG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
WFG is the less volatile stock with a 0.66 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LPX's 1.20 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. WFG currently trades 80.0% from its 52-week high vs LPX's 73.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.66x | 1.20x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $78.55 | $102.86 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $57.34 | $66.68 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +80.0% | +73.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 45.7 | 47.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 173K | 1.0M |
Analyst Outlook
WFG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates WFG as "Buy" and LPX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 35.0% upside for LPX (target: $102) vs 28.4% for WFG (target: $81). For income investors, WFG offers the higher dividend yield at 2.08% vs LPX's 1.48%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $80.67 | $102.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.1% | +1.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 10 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.79 | $1.11 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.8% | +1.2% |
LPX leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). WFG leads in 3 (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility).
WFG vs LPX: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is WFG or LPX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, West Fraser Timber Co.
Ltd. (WFG) is the stronger pick with 23. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -7. 9% for Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX). Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) offers the better valuation at 36. 3x trailing P/E (29. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) a "Buy" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — WFG or LPX?
Over the past 5 years, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) delivered a total return of +10.
5%, compared to -20. 6% for West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LPX returned +346. 8% versus WFG's +117. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — WFG or LPX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), West Fraser Timber Co.
Ltd. (WFG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 66β versus Louisiana-Pacific Corporation's 1. 20β — meaning LPX is approximately 82% more volatile than WFG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 23% for Louisiana-Pacific Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — WFG or LPX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), West Fraser Timber Co.
Ltd. (WFG) is pulling ahead at 23. 5% versus -7. 9% for Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Louisiana-Pacific Corporation grew EPS -64. 7% year-over-year, compared to -222. 8% for West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.. Over a 3-year CAGR, WFG leads at -7. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — WFG or LPX?
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) is the more profitable company, earning 5.
4% net margin versus -17. 2% for West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. — meaning it keeps 5. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LPX leads at 9. 6% versus -8. 7% for WFG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — LPX leads at 21. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is WFG or LPX more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LPX: 35.
0% to $102. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — WFG or LPX?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) offers the highest yield at 2. 1%, versus 1. 5% for Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX).
08Is WFG or LPX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, West Fraser Timber Co.
Ltd. (WFG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 66), 2. 1% yield, +117. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (WFG: +117. 5%, LPX: +346. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between WFG and LPX?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: WFG is a small-cap high-growth stock; LPX is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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