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YMM vs FDX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Integrated Freight & Logistics
YMM vs FDX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Market Cap | $19.36B | $88.69B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $12.14B | $91.93B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $4.18B | $4.48B |
| Gross Margin | 71.3% | 24.4% |
| Operating Margin | 32.4% | 6.5% |
| Forward P/E | 2.0x | 19.1x |
| Total Debt | $65M | $37.42B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $5.81B | $5.50B |
YMM vs FDX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full Truck Alliance… (YMM) | 100 | 44.6 | -55.4% |
| FedEx Corporation (FDX) | 100 | 126.4 | +26.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: YMM vs FDX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
YMM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night.
- Rev growth 33.2%, EPS growth 47.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 34.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.50, Low D/E 0.2%, current ratio 9.03x
- Beta 1.50, yield 1.6%, current ratio 9.03x
FDX is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 1.03, yield 1.5%
- 156.2% 10Y total return vs YMM's -55.9%
- Beta 1.03 vs YMM's 1.50
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 33.2% revenue growth vs FDX's 0.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (2.0x vs 19.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 34.4% margin vs FDX's 4.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.03 vs YMM's 1.50 | |
| Dividends | 1.6% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs FDX's 1.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +79.5% vs YMM's -23.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.0% ROA vs FDX's 5.0%, ROIC 6.0% vs 7.7% |
YMM vs FDX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
YMM vs FDX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
YMM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FDX is the larger business by revenue, generating $91.9B annually — 7.6x YMM's $12.1B. YMM is the more profitable business, keeping 34.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FDX's 4.9%. On growth, YMM holds the edge at +17.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.1B | $91.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $4.0B | $10.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $4.2B | $4.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $0 | $4.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +71.3% | +24.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +32.4% | +6.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +34.4% | +4.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +25.8% | +4.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +17.2% | +8.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +29.4% | +15.7% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — YMM and FDX each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 21.1x trailing earnings, YMM trades at a 6% valuation discount to FDX's 22.4x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, FDX's 11.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than YMM's 49.4x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $19.4B | $88.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $18.5B | $120.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.05x | 22.44x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 1.98x | 19.08x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.80x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 49.44x | 11.66x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 11.74x | 1.01x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.70x | 3.26x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 45.58x | 29.75x |
Profitability & Efficiency
YMM leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
FDX delivers a 15.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $11 for YMM. YMM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FDX's 1.33x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), YMM scores 8/9 vs FDX's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +10.9% | +15.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.0% | +5.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.0% | +7.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.7% | +8.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.00x | 1.33x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$5.7B | $31.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $5.8B | $5.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $65M | $37.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 16.50x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
FDX leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in FDX five years ago would be worth $12,900 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,413 for YMM. Over the past 12 months, FDX leads with a +79.5% total return vs YMM's -23.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FDX at 19.5% vs YMM's 17.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -18.7% | +29.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -23.5% | +79.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +61.1% | +70.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -55.9% | +29.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -55.9% | +156.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +17.2% | +19.5% |
Risk & Volatility
FDX leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
FDX is the less volatile stock with a 1.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than YMM's 1.50 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. FDX currently trades 93.4% from its 52-week high vs YMM's 64.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.50x | 1.03x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $14.07 | $404.03 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.04 | $212.64 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +64.5% | +93.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.4 | 42.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 6.1M | 1.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — YMM and FDX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates YMM as "Buy" and FDX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 28.5% upside for YMM (target: $12) vs -3.4% for FDX (target: $364). For income investors, YMM offers the higher dividend yield at 1.65% vs FDX's 1.46%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $11.67 | $364.19 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 3 | 49 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.6% | +1.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.02 | $5.51 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.4% | +3.4% |
YMM leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). FDX leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility). 2 tied.
YMM vs FDX: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is YMM or FDX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Full Truck Alliance Co.
Ltd. (YMM) is the stronger pick with 33. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 3% for FedEx Corporation (FDX). Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) offers the better valuation at 21. 1x trailing P/E (2. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) a "Buy" — based on 3 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — YMM or FDX?
On trailing P/E, Full Truck Alliance Co.
Ltd. (YMM) is the cheapest at 21. 1x versus FedEx Corporation at 22. 4x. On forward P/E, Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. is actually cheaper at 2. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — YMM or FDX?
Over the past 5 years, FedEx Corporation (FDX) delivered a total return of +29.
0%, compared to -55. 9% for Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FDX returned +156. 2% versus YMM's -55. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — YMM or FDX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), FedEx Corporation (FDX) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
03β versus Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. 's 1. 50β — meaning YMM is approximately 46% more volatile than FDX relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 133% for FedEx Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — YMM or FDX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Full Truck Alliance Co.
Ltd. (YMM) is pulling ahead at 33. 2% versus 0. 3% for FedEx Corporation (FDX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. grew EPS 47. 0% year-over-year, compared to -2. 3% for FedEx Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, YMM leads at 34. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — YMM or FDX?
Full Truck Alliance Co.
Ltd. (YMM) is the more profitable company, earning 27. 3% net margin versus 4. 7% for FedEx Corporation — meaning it keeps 27. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: YMM leads at 22. 0% versus 6. 9% for FDX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — YMM leads at 86. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is YMM or FDX more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Full Truck Alliance Co.
Ltd. (YMM) trades at 2. 0x forward P/E versus 19. 1x for FedEx Corporation — 17. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for YMM: 28. 5% to $11. 67.
08Which pays a better dividend — YMM or FDX?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) offers the highest yield at 1. 6%, versus 1. 5% for FedEx Corporation (FDX).
09Is YMM or FDX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, FedEx Corporation (FDX) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
03), 1. 5% yield, +156. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (FDX: +156. 2%, YMM: -55. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between YMM and FDX?
These companies operate in different sectors (YMM (Technology) and FDX (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: YMM is a mid-cap high-growth stock; FDX is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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