AERO trades 54.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $27.33.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes AERO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 13.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 3 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 23, 2026, Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V. (AERO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $27.33, based on estimates from 3 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $17.39, this represents a potential upside of +54.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.54B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $20.00 to a high of $32.00, representing a 44% spread in expectations. The median target of $30.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, AERO trades at a trailing P/E of 6.7x and forward P/E of 13.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -48.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $23.04, with bear and bull scenarios of $14.52 and $30.36 respectively. Model confidence stands at 47/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VLRSControladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. | $1.0B | $9.08 | $10.30 | +14.8% | Buy | — | 18 |
OMABGrupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. | $5.3B | $109.67 | $127.00 | +11.4% | Buy | 0.8x | 13 |
PACGrupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V. | $10.7B | $248.92 | $285.00 | +12.1% | Hold | 1.0x | 15 |
ASRGrupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. | $9.0B | $300.24 | $365.00 | +18.4% | Buy | 0.8x | 11 |
CPACopa Holdings, S.A. | $6.3B | $152.99 | $181.43 | +20.1% | Buy | 9.5x | 30 |
DALDelta Air Lines, Inc. | $56.1B | $85.92 | $86.90 | +3.2% | Buy | 15.4x | 44 |
UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc. | $38.5B | $118.68 | $139.67 | +18.0% | Buy | 12.6x | 47 |
AAAlcoa Corporation | $15.1B | $58.35 | $75.40 | +27.1% | Buy | 7.6x | 42 |
BAThe Boeing Company | $174.1B | $220.83 | $281.56 | +26.4% | Buy | — | 54 |
GEGE Aerospace | $371.0B | $355.12 | $380.14 | +6.3% | Buy | 47.4x | 34 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AERO stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for AERO is $27.33, representing 54.9% upside from the current price of $17.39. With 3 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
AERO has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 3 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 3 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $27.33 implies 54.9% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 13.2632x, AERO trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $27.33 implies 54.9% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $32 for AERO, while the most conservative target is $20. The consensus of $27.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $30 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
AERO is lightly followed, with 3 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month AERO stock forecast based on 3 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $27.33, with estimates ranging from $20 (bear case) to $32 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $23, with bear/bull scenarios of $15/$30.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AERO's fair value at $23 (base case), with a bear case of $15 and bull case of $30. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.
AERO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 6.7x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on AERO, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $27.33 price target (54.9% upside). 3 of 3 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AERO analyst price targets range from $20 to $32, a 44% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $27.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $15-$30 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
See how regular investing compounds over time.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.