CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$20.50
Price Target
$21.50
Target Range
$20.00 — $23.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E56.4x
Trailing P/E256.6x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth-3.7%
Median Target$21.50
Analyst Spread14.0%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$20
-2.4%
Consensus
$22
+4.9%
Bull Case
$23
+12.2%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 35/100
Bear$13
Base$21
Bull$97
CTO Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $21.50, based on estimates from 10 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $20.50, this represents a potential upside of +4.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $693M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $20.00 to a high of $23.00, representing a 14% spread in expectations. The median target of $21.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 9 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, CTO trades at a trailing P/E of 256.6x and forward P/E of 56.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -3.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $20.50, with bear and bull scenarios of $13.19 and $97.18 respectively. Model confidence stands at 35/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Real Estate stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+6.4%
Avg Forward P/E48.1x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 WHLRWheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. | $127M | $1.19 | — | — | Buy | — | 5 |
 PECOPhillips Edison & Company, Inc. | $5.1B | $40.28 | $39.60 | -1.7% | Buy | 54.1x | 14 |
 SITCSITE Centers Corp. | $295M | $5.62 | $8.00 | +42.3% | Hold | — | 31 |
 KRGKite Realty Group Trust | $5.4B | $26.65 | $25.33 | -5.0% | Hold | 80.9x | 25 |
 REGRegency Centers Corporation | $14.5B | $79.08 | $80.14 | +1.3% | Buy | 32.6x | 32 |
 KIMKimco Realty Corporation | $16.1B | $23.80 | $24.25 | +1.9% | Hold | 30.8x | 36 |
 BRXBrixmor Property Group Inc. | $9.3B | $30.29 | $31.00 | +2.3% | Buy | 29.9x | 30 |
 AKRAcadia Realty Trust | $2.9B | $22.16 | $20.50 | -7.5% | Buy | 79.0x | 12 |
 IRMIron Mountain Incorporated | $39.3B | $132.06 | $132.33 | +0.2% | Buy | 58.6x | 20 |
 CBRECBRE Group, Inc. | $42.6B | $145.16 | $179.75 | +23.8% | Buy | 19.0x | 20 |
Upside Potential Comparison
SITCCBREBRXKIMREGIRMPECOKRGSee CTO's True Return
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Start ComparisonCTO — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CTO stock.
What is the CTO stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for CTO is $21.5, close to the current price of $20.5 (4.9% implied move). Based on 10 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is CTO a buy, sell, or hold?
CTO has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 10 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 9 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $21.5 implies 4.9% upside from current levels.
Is CTO stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 56.4272x, CTO trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $21.5 (4.9% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
How high can CTO stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $23 for CTO, while the most conservative target is $20. The consensus of $21.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $97 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover CTO stock?
CTO is moderately covered, with 10 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the CTO stock forecast?
The 12-month CTO stock forecast based on 10 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $21.5, with estimates ranging from $20 (bear case) to $23 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $21, with bear/bull scenarios of $13/$97.
What is CTO's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CTO's fair value at $21 (base case), with a bear case of $13 and bull case of $97. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 35/100.
What is CTO's forward P/E ratio?
CTO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 56.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 256.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy CTO stock?
CTO appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $21.5 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do CTO price targets vary so much?
CTO analyst price targets range from $20 to $23, a 14% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $21.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $13-$97 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.