Upside case
Bull case
$54+168.1%
ELC would need investors to value it at roughly 0x earnings — about 0x more generous than today's 0x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Analysis OverviewNo CoverageUpdated —
Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT (ELC) Stock Analysis
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Analyst consensus
Mixed
Covering
—
analysts
0 bullish · 0 bearish · 0 covering ELC
Strong Buy
0
Buy
0
Hold
0
Sell
0
Strong Sell
0
Consensus Target
—
— vs today
Scenario Range
$26 – $54
Model bear to bull value window
Coverage
—
Published analyst ratings
Valuation Context
0.0x
Forward P/E · Market cap $9.3B
ELC price targets
Three scenarios for where ELC stock could go
Current
~$20
Confidence
38 / 100
Updated
—
Where we are now
Current · $20
Bear
$26
Base
$41
Bull
$54
Market caseClosest to today
Base case
$41+103.5%
At 0x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
Stress case
Bear case
$26+28.2%
The bear case assumes sentiment or fundamentals disappoint enough to push ELC down roughly 28% from the current price.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.
Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT
ELC · NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricDecember year-end
Entergy Louisiana is a regulated electric utility that generates, transmits, and distributes electricity primarily in Louisiana. It earns revenue through regulated rate structures approved by state commissions — with residential, commercial, and industrial customers contributing roughly 40%, 35%, and 25% respectively — plus some natural gas distribution. Its key advantage is its regulated monopoly status in its service territory, providing stable cash flows through cost recovery mechanisms.
Market Cap
$9.3B
Revenue TTM
$13.3B
Net Income TTM
$1.8B
Net Margin
13.6%
ELC Revenue and Earnings Performance
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
EPS Beat Rate
—No data
5 quarters tracked
Revenue Beat Rate
—No data
vs consensus estimates
Avg EPS Surprise
—
above Street consensus
Beat / Miss Record
BeatMissLeft = EPS · Right = Revenue
Q2 2023
Q3 2023
Q1 2026
Q2 2026
Last 4 Quarters
EPS beats: 0 of 4Q2 2023
EPS
$1843.74/—
Revenue
$2.85T/—
Q3 2023
EPS
$3.32/—
Revenue
$3.60T/—
Q1 2026
EPS
$0.52/—
Revenue
$3.0B/—
Q2 2026
EPS
$0.84/—
Revenue
$3.2B/—
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2023 | $1843.74/— | — | $2.85T/— | — |
| Q3 2023 | $3.32/— | — | $3.60T/— | — |
| Q1 2026 | $0.52/— | — | $3.0B/— | — |
| Q2 2026 | $0.84/— | — | $3.2B/— | — |
FY1–FY2 Estimates
Revenue Outlook
FY1
$13.8B
+4.0% YoY
FY2
$14.5B
+5.2% YoY
EPS Outlook
FY1
$3.59
-7.8% YoY
FY2
$3.41
-5.0% YoY
Trailing FCF (TTM)-$3.0B
FCF Margin: -22.6%
Next Earnings
—
Expected EPS
—
Expected Revenue
—
ELC beat EPS estimates in 0 of 4 tracked quarters. Mixed delivery makes the upcoming report a key data point for re-rating.
ELC Revenue Breakdown by Segment
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest disclosure
FY 2025
Total disclosed revenue $12.9B
Product Mix
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Electricity, US Regulated
98.7%
+9.9% YoY
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Geographic Mix
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Segment breakdown not available for this company.
Electricity, US Regulated is the largest disclosed segment at 98.7% of FY 2025 revenue, up 9.9% YoY.
ELC Valuation Snapshot
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Relative Value Signal
Expensive versus peers
Fair value est. $13 — implies -34.8% from today's price.
Premium to Fair Value
34.8%
above fair value
Deep DiscountFair ValueVery Expensive
vs S&P 500 Trailing P/E
ELC
5.1x
vs
S&P 500
24.4x
79% discount
vs Utilities Trailing P/E
ELC
5.1x
vs
Utilities
19.0x
73% discount
vs ELC 5Y Avg P/E
Today
5.1x
vs
5Y Average
6.9x
26% discount
Forward PE
0.0x
S&P 500
18.8x
-100%
Utilities
17.4x
-100%
5Y Avg
—
—
Trailing PE
5.1x
S&P 500
24.4x
-79%
Utilities
19.0x
-73%
5Y Avg
6.9x
-26%
PEG Ratio
2.03x
S&P 500
1.66x
+22%
Utilities
1.82x
+11%
5Y Avg
—
—
EV/EBITDA
7.2x
S&P 500
15.2x
-53%
Utilities
11.9x
-40%
5Y Avg
7.9x
-8%
Price/FCF
—
S&P 500
20.7x
—
Utilities
18.6x
—
5Y Avg
—
—
Price/Sales
0.7x
S&P 500
3.1x
-77%
Utilities
2.3x
-69%
5Y Avg
0.7x
-3%
Dividend Yield
11.86%
S&P 500
1.91%
+520%
Utilities
3.10%
+283%
5Y Avg
10.00%
+19%
| Metric | ELC | S&P 500 | Utilities | 5Y Avg ELC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 0.0x | 18.8x-100% | 17.4x-100% | — |
| Trailing PE | 5.1x | 24.4x-79% | 19.0x-73% | 6.9x-26% |
| PEG Ratio | 2.03x | 1.66x+22% | 1.82x+11% | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.2x | 15.2x-53% | 11.9x-40% | 7.9x |
| Price/FCF | — | 20.7x | 18.6x | — |
| Price/Sales | 0.7x | 3.1x-77% | 2.3x-69% | 0.7x |
| Dividend Yield | 11.86% | 1.91% | 3.10% | 10.00% |
ELC trades above S&P 500 benchmarks on 1 of 5 measured multiples — appears modestly priced relative to the S&P 500 on most measures.
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolELC Financial Health
Verdict
Exceptional
ELC earns 22.6% operating margin on regulated earnings, 11.9% dividend yield. Utilities carry higher leverage than industrials as a structural feature of the business model.
Regulated Operations
Revenue, regulated margins, and earnings
Revenue (TTM)
Trailing-twelve-month sales base
$13.3B
Revenue Growth
TTM vs prior year
+11.4%
Operating Margin
Operating income divided by revenue
22.6%
Net Margin
Net income divided by revenue
13.6%
EPS (TTM)
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months
$3.90
Operating Margin
Operating income over revenue — primary regulated earnings signal
22.6%
Capital Quality
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
ROIC
Return on invested capital — primary competitive quality signal
5.0%
ROA
Return on assets, trailing twelve months
2.5%
Cash & Equivalents
Liquid assets on the balance sheet
$46M
Net Debt
Total debt minus cash
$30.9B
Debt Serviceability
Net debt as a multiple of annual free cash flow
—
Regulated utilities typically operate at 3–5× net debt/FCF — this is structural, not a risk flag.
ROE
Return on equity, trailing twelve months
10.6%
Shareholder Returns
How capital is returned to owners
Total shareholder yield
11.9%
Dividend
11.9%
Buyback
0.0%
Share Repurchases
Trailing buyback outflow — dollar magnitude of capital returned
$0
Dividend / Share
Annualized trailing dividend per share
$2.39
Payout Ratio
Share of earnings distributed as dividends
60.6%
Shares Outstanding
Current diluted share count
463M
All figures from the trailing twelve months. Utilities operate with structural leverage (3–5× net debt/FCF) due to regulated, predictable cash flows.
Open full ratios pageELC Stock Risk Factors
Key factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
Based on the latest company results, valuation, and market data
High Risk
Electricity, US Regulated dependence
Electricity, US Regulated contributes 98.7% of the disclosed revenue mix, with the latest annual change at 9.9%. If demand in the lead segment cools, the rest of the portfolio may not be large enough to fully offset the slowdown.
Medium
Valuation de-rating
ELC trades at 5.1x trailing earnings versus 24.4x for the S&P 500 and 19.0x for its sector. If earnings delivery or sentiment slips, the stock could re-rate lower and move closer to the bear case target of $26.
Medium
Estimate execution
The next fiscal year requires Street estimates of $13.8B in revenue (4.0% growth) and $3.59 in EPS. Missing those operating targets would undermine the premium multiple investors are paying today.
Lower
Capital return support
Part of the per-share support comes from capital returns, backed by -$3.0B in trailing free cash flow, a 0.0% buyback yield, and a 11.9% dividend yield. If cash generation softens, the EPS lift and downside cushion from repurchases can narrow.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Why ELC Stock Could Outperform
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
Based on recent company results and analyst estimates
High-margin cash engine
Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT already operates from a position of scale, with 43.3% gross margin, 22.6% operating margin, and -$3.0B in trailing free cash flow. That combination gives management room to keep funding product investment without relying on outside capital.
Electricity, US Regulated still matters
Electricity, US Regulated accounts for 98.7% of disclosed revenue and the latest annual change was 9.9%. When the biggest revenue lines are still holding up, even modest execution improvement can translate into meaningful earnings leverage.
Upside and capital returns align
Consensus still points to —, while the modeled bull target reaches $54. If $13.8B in forward revenue and $3.59 in EPS are delivered, ongoing shareholder returns running at 11.9% can amplify the equity upside.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
ELC Stock Price Performance
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Current Price
$20.12
52W Range Position
85%
52-Week Range
Current price plotted between the 52-week low and high.
52-Week Low
$5.88
+242.2% from the low
52-Week High
$22.67
-11.2% from the high
1 Month
-1.28%
3 Month
-1.08%
YTD
-2.5%
1 Year
+1.0%
3Y CAGR
-2.5%
5Y CAGR
-4.8%
10Y CAGR
-2.0%
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
ELC vs Peers
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
Peer Set
Accurate peer set
Forward PE
0.0x
vs 20.3x median
-100% below peer median
Revenue Growth
+4.0%
vs +8.0% median
-50% below peer median
Net Margin
13.6%
vs 13.4% median
+1% above peer median
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ELC ELC Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT | $9.3B | 0.0x | +4.0% | 13.6% | — | — |
ETR ETR Entergy Corporation | $50.9B | 25.2x | +4.4% | 13.6% | Buy | +8.3% |
EAI EAI Entergy Arkansas, Inc. 1M BD 4.875%66 | $9.3B | — | +8.0% | 13.4% | — | — |
EMP EMP Entergy Mississippi, Inc. 1M BD 66 | $9.6B | — | +8.0% | 13.4% | — | — |
ENO ENO Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | $10.0B | 12.4x | +8.0% | 13.4% | — | — |
SO SO The Southern Company | $104.9B | 20.3x | +4.4% | 14.5% | Hold | +9.7% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
ELC Dividend and Capital Return
ELC returns 11.9% total yield, led by a 11.86% dividend.
Dividend WatchFCF Unknown
Total Shareholder Yield
11.9%
Dividend + buyback return per year
Buyback Yield
0.0%
Dividend Yield
11.86%
Payout Ratio
60.6%
How ELC Splits Its Return
Div 11.86%
Dividend 11.86%Buybacks 0.0%
Dividend Profile
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
Dividend / Share
Trailing annualized cash dividend
$2.39
Growth Streak
Consecutive years of dividend increases
1Y
3Y Div CAGR
0.0%
5Y Div CAGR
0.0%
Ex-Dividend Date
—
Payment Cadence
Quarterly
4 payments over the last 12 months
Buyback Engine
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
Repurchases (TTM)
Cash used for buybacks in the latest trailing period
$0
Estimated Shares Retired
0
Approx. Share Reduction
0.0%
Shares Outstanding
Current diluted share count from the screening snapshot
463M
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.61 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $1.22 | +0.0% | 0.0% | 11.7% |
| 2024 | $1.22 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% |
| 2023 | $1.22 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% |
| 2022 | $1.22 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% |
FAQ
6 questionsELC Investor Questions
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
01Is Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT (ELC) stock a buy or sell in 2026?
Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT (ELC) has limited published analyst coverage at this time. The model scenario range runs from $26 to $54 around a current price of $20. Use the scenario targets and valuation multiples on this page as a guide.
02Is Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT (ELC) stock overvalued in 2026?
ELC trades at 0.0x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals expensive versus peers. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
03What are the main risks for Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT (ELC) stock in 2026?
The primary risks for ELC in 2026 are: (1) Electricity, US Regulated dependence — Electricity, US Regulated contributes 98. (2) Valuation de-rating — ELC trades at 5. (3) Estimate execution — The next fiscal year requires Street estimates of $13. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
04What is Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT's revenue and earnings forecast?
Analyst consensus estimates ELC will report consensus revenue of $13.8B (+4.0% year-over-year) and EPS of $3.59 (-7.8% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $14.5B in revenue.
05When does Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT (ELC) report its next earnings?
A confirmed upcoming earnings date for ELC is not yet available. Check the Earnings section above for the most recent quarterly report dates and forward estimates.
06How much free cash flow does Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT generate?
Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT (ELC) had a free cash outflow of $3.0B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 22.6%. ELC returns capital to shareholders through dividends (11.9% yield) and share repurchases ($0 TTM).