Bull case
RGA would need investors to value it at roughly 15x earnings — about 7x more generous than today's 8x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where RGA stock could go
RGA would need investors to value it at roughly 15x earnings — about 7x more generous than today's 8x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 11x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 1x multiple contraction could push RGA down roughly 11% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Reinsurance Group of America is a global life and health reinsurer that assumes insurance risk from primary insurers. It generates revenue primarily through reinsurance premiums — with contributions from mortality, morbidity, and longevity risk products — supplemented by asset management fees and consulting services. The company's competitive advantage lies in its global scale, sophisticated risk modeling capabilities, and long-standing relationships with primary insurers across multiple continents.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $4.72/$5.58 | -15.4% | $5.6B/$6.0B | -6.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.37/$5.76 | +10.6% | $6.2B/$6.1B | +2.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.75/$5.78 | +34.1% | $6.6B/$6.3B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.97/$6.03 | +15.6% | $6.5B/$6.5B | +0.4% |
RGA beat EPS estimates in 3 of 4 tracked quarters. A strong delivery record supports forward estimate credibility.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $180 — implies -14.7% from today's price.
| Metric | RGA | S&P 500 | Financial Services | 5Y Avg RGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 7.8x | 18.8x-58% | 10.7x-27% | — |
| Trailing PE | 11.9x | 24.4x-51% | 13.6x-12% | 14.8x-20% |
| PEG Ratio | 0.52x | 1.66x-69% | 0.95x-46% | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.7x | 15.2x-36% | 11.4x-15% | 11.1x-13% |
| Price/FCF | 3.4x | 20.7x-84% | 11.1x-70% | 3.3x |
| Price/Sales | 0.6x | 3.1x-80% | 2.3x-74% | 0.6x |
| Dividend Yield | 1.71% | 1.91% | 2.63% | 2.02% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolRGA posts 5.0% net margin with 9.4% ROE — the core signals of underwriting discipline and capital efficiency.
Premium revenue, margins, and returns
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
Traditional FCF and debt/FCF ratios are not meaningful for financial companies. Focus on ROE and ROA above.
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. For financial companies, ROE and ROA are the primary health signals — FCF-based metrics are not applicable.
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
RGA's profitability is significantly affected by fluctuations in interest rates due to its large investment portfolio. A rapid increase in rates can devalue older, lower-yielding bonds, potentially leading to realized losses if policyholders cash out.
Unexpected increases in global mortality rates, such as those seen during pandemics, can lead to higher claims and negatively impact RGA's stock price. Additionally, trends like an aging population and chronic diseases are critical factors in the life and health reinsurance market.
Financial market volatility can adversely affect the profitability of RGA's variable annuities with guaranteed living benefits. This exposure to market fluctuations can lead to unpredictable revenue streams.
RGA faces significant challenges in integrating acquired assets and liabilities following recent reinsurance transactions. This process demands substantial management resources and may divert focus from other critical operations, potentially impacting future business prospects.
A considerable portion of RGA's revenue is derived from investment income, making the company vulnerable to market downturns and fluctuations in investment performance. This reliance can lead to significant revenue volatility.
RGA operates in a competitive market with high barriers to entry, facing competition from larger, diversified peers. This competitive pressure can impact market share and profitability.
The company is subject to extensive global regulations, including U.S. state insurance laws and international solvency standards. Compliance with emerging regulations related to privacy, cybersecurity, and ESG can impose additional operational burdens.
Challenges in specific geographic regions, such as ongoing headwinds in the Asia Pacific business, and strategic decisions like exiting the U.S. group healthcare segment due to unfavorable claims can negatively affect RGA's future outlook.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
RGA has demonstrated robust financial performance, with revenue increasing by 7.20% in 2025 to $23.70 billion and earnings growing by 64.85% to $1.18 billion. The company reported record fourth-quarter and full-year results in 2025, with management reiterating its targets of 8% to 10% annual EPS growth.
RGA is strategically expanding in Asia and other emerging markets, where demand for life and health coverage is growing. This expansion contributes to a more diversified revenue base, positioning RGA to capitalize on new opportunities.
Analysts project earnings growth of 8.26% for RGA in the coming year, with EPS expected to rise from $26.27 to $28.44 per share. This positive outlook reflects confidence in the company's growth trajectory.
RGA has a solid capital position and a history of increasing its dividend for 16 years, currently offering a dividend yield of 1.78%. This disciplined approach supports growth investments and enhances shareholder returns.
RGA ranks among the top five global life and health reinsurers, providing innovative financial solutions to help clients manage risk. This strong market position underpins its ability to drive future growth.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RGA RGA Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated | $13.8B | 7.8x | +9.6% | 5.0% | Buy | +19.1% |
EG EG Everest Re Group, Ltd. | $13.5B | 6.4x | +6.6% | 11.9% | Hold | +6.3% |
RNR RNR RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | $12.9B | 7.3x | +10.4% | 26.9% | Hold | +3.9% |
TRV TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | $66.6B | 11.0x | +3.5% | 12.9% | Hold | +0.8% |
GLR GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. | $533M | 8.9x | +11.3% | 11.5% | Buy | — |
PLM PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. | $3.0B | 11.4x | +12.0% | 20.2% | Buy | -1.3% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
RGA returns 3.0% total yield, led by a 1.71% dividend, raised 18 consecutive years. Buybacks add another 1.3%.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.86 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $3.64 | +4.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% |
| 2024 | $3.48 | +5.5% | 0.2% | 1.8% |
| 2023 | $3.30 | +7.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% |
| 2022 | $3.06 | +7.0% | 0.8% | 3.0% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated (RGA) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 22 analysts covering the stock, 13 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 7 rate it Hold, and 2 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $251, implying +19.1% from the current price of $211. The bear case scenario is $187 and the bull case is $392.
The Wall Street consensus price target for RGA is $251 based on 22 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $268 (+27.3% from today), and the low-end target is $220 (+4.5%). The base case model target is $297.
RGA trades at 7.8x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals slightly expensive versus peers. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for RGA in 2026 are: (1) Interest Rate Sensitivity — RGA's profitability is significantly affected by fluctuations in interest rates due to its large investment portfolio. (2) Mortality Trends — Unexpected increases in global mortality rates, such as those seen during pandemics, can lead to higher claims and negatively impact RGA's stock price. (3) Market Volatility — Financial market volatility can adversely affect the profitability of RGA's variable annuities with guaranteed living benefits. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates RGA will report consensus revenue of $27.0B (+9.6% year-over-year) and EPS of $21.65 (+17.8% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $29.3B in revenue.
Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-07-30. Consensus expects EPS of $6.52 and revenue of $6.6B. Over recent quarters, RGA has beaten EPS estimates 83% of the time.
Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated (RGA) generated $5.5B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 22.5%. RGA returns capital to shareholders through dividends (1.7% yield) and share repurchases ($174M TTM).