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SHOPShopify Inc.
$147.74$191.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
SHOP logo

Shopify Inc.

SHOP
NASDAQ · Application Software
$147.74
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$191.72B
P/E157.2x
52W High$182.19
Volume25.28M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Revenue Acceleration Masks Margin Mix Compression Risk

Shopify's revenue growth accelerated to 33.7% YoY in 2026Q2, driven by platform strength and merchant adoption, while operating leverage expanded operating margin to 13.6% from 4.6% in 2024Q1. However, gross margin declined 370 bps to 47.7% over the same perio...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

SHOP price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+392% Peers

P/E is 392% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 60 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 60)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 5
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 33.7% YoY in 2026Q2, with operating margin expanding to 13.6% from 4.6% in 2024Q1, though gross margin compressed to 47.7% from 51.4%.

Analyst Consensus+13.5% target
Buy(64 analysts)
43 Buy18 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Market Position

Shopify continues to be a dominant e-commerce platform, powering millions of businesses globally with essential infrastructure for online retail.

AI Integration and Innovation

The company is actively integrating AI into its platform, with tools like Store Builder and Sidekick, and co-developed the Universal Commerce Protocol with Google.

Expanding Services

Shopify's expansion of Shopify Payments to new countries and increased GPV penetration are positive indicators.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Overvaluation

Some analyses suggest Shopify's stock may still be overvalued based on traditional metrics like P/E ratios and price-to-sales multiples.

Margin Pressure

Structural gross margin pressure is a concern due to a shift towards lower-margin Merchant Solutions revenues and increased penetration of Shopify Payments.

Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Tariff-related uncertainties and softening consumer spending are cited as significant headwinds impacting smaller merchants and overall demand.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
SHOP-6.02%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
SHOP-5.97%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
SHOP+178.33%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+96.68%
5-Year Return
SHOP+0.78%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+84.46%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
157.2x
Forward P/EExpansion
77.8x
EV/EBITDA50th %ile
127.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.0%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
157.2x
68.6x
67th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
127.0x
139.2x
50th· Fair
Price/FCF
95.5x
111.5x
25th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$15.13-89.8%
Base (Fair)$129.22+0.7%
Bull$30.14-79.6%
$15.13 Bear$129.22 Base$30.14 Bull
Current Market Price: $147.74
Trades at a 14.3% premium to Base DCF ($129.22)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$11.56B+30.1% YoY
Net income
$1.23B-39.0% YoY
Free cash flow
$2.01B+25.7% YoY
Operating margin
12.7%+0.6 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)9.4%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)9.8%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 5, 2026
$0.42+5.7%
vs $0.40
$3.5B+4.2%
vs $3.4B
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$0.36+10.4%
vs $0.33
$3.1B+1.4%
vs $3.1B
Q1 2026
Feb 11, 2026
$0.46-9.1%
vs $0.51
$3.6B+1.0%
vs $3.6B
Q4 2025
Nov 4, 2025
$0.34+1.0%
vs $0.34
$2.8B+3.4%
vs $2.8B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
PYMNTS·22h ago
Shopify Brings Shop Pay Checkout Solution to Meta's Muse AI Agent

Shopify and Meta have partnered to extend the shopping capabilities of Meta's Muse artificial intelligence assistant, executives said Monday (Sept. 21).

GuruFocus·1d ago
Shopify Just Gave Meta's AI Agent a Major Boost

Shopify (SHOP, Financials), is partnering with Meta to let users complete purchases through Muse, Meta's AI shopping agent, using Shopify's Shop Pay checkout se

The Motley Fool·1d ago
Why Shopify Stock Rocketed Higher Today

Shopify is partnering with Meta to enable its Muse AI agent to complete purchases on behalf of users. The move came after Amazon blocked the AI agent from operating on its e-commerce platform.

Investopedia·1d ago
Shopify Stock Rallies on Checkout Partnership With Meta's New Muse AI Agent

Shopify stock is surging, thanks to a partnership with Meta's hot new AI agent.

Filtered for Shopify Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark SHOP against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Shopify Inc. (SHOP)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
SHOP logoSHOPShopify Inc.Current
$147.74$191.72B157.1730.14%10.65%9.84%—
WIX logoWIXWix.com Ltd.
$80.09$4.2B91.0113.2%-8.19%——
GDDY logoGDDYGoDaddy Inc.
$98.24$13.01B15.778.26%17.83%660.95%—
CART logoCARTMaplebear Inc.
$44.41$10.44B27.7610.78%12.02%17.63%—
PYPL logoPYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.
$52.89$46.65B9.784.19%14.36%24.42%—
BILL logoBILLBill.com Holdings, Inc.
$46.49$4.63B-422.6413.03%-0.68%-0.3%—

Compare SHOP vs Peers

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs WIX

Most directly comparable listed peer for SHOP.

Scale Benchmark

vs GOOGL

Larger-name benchmark to compare SHOP against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs WIX, GDDY, CART, PYPL

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

SHOP SEC Filings & Documents

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 2, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 16, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 11, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 4, 2025·SEC

Get notified when SHOP posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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SHOP Frequently Asked Questions

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Shopify Inc.'s revenue?

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) reported $13.27B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 26305% increase from $50.3M in 2013.

How fast is Shopify Inc. growing?

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) grew revenue by 30.1% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is SHOP profitable?

Yes, Shopify Inc. (SHOP) is profitable, generating $1.93B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (10.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is SHOP's return on equity?

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) has a return on equity (ROE) of 9.8%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is Shopify Inc.'s free cash flow?

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) generated $2.35B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in SHOP back in 2013?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 13+ years of data

See returns →