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SHOPShopify Inc.
$148.91$193.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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SHOP logo

Shopify Inc.

SHOP
NASDAQ · E-commerce Software
$148.91
At close - USD
Market Cap$193.23B
P/E158.4x
52W High$180.88
Volume7.96M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Cash Engine Strength Outpaces Volatile GAAP Earnings Quality

Shopify's revenue growth has moderated from roughly 33.7% in 2026Q2 to 31.6% in 2026Q3 but remains strong on a larger base, while gross margin has held near 47.6% and operating margin improved to 15.2%, suggesting the core commerce platform is scaling profitably.

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

SHOP price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+418% Peers

P/E is 418% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 83 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 83% of market)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 3
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth of 31.6% in 2026Q3 and a 47.6% gross margin alongside operating margin expansion from 8.6% in 2025Q1 to 15.2% in 2026Q3 suggest operating income is scaling faster than revenue, though volatile net margins from -18.3% to 41.9% indicate non-operating items dominate GAAP results.

Analyst Consensus+18.4% target
Buy(66 analysts)
45 Buy18 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Market Position

Shopify continues to be a dominant e-commerce platform, powering millions of businesses globally with essential infrastructure for online retail.

AI Integration and Innovation

The company is actively integrating AI into its platform, with tools like Store Builder and Sidekick, and co-developed the Universal Commerce Protocol with Google.

Expanding Services

Shopify's expansion of Shopify Payments to new countries and increased GPV penetration are positive indicators.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Overvaluation

Some analyses suggest Shopify's stock may still be overvalued based on traditional metrics like P/E ratios and price-to-sales multiples.

Margin Pressure

Structural gross margin pressure is a concern due to a shift towards lower-margin Merchant Solutions revenues and increased penetration of Shopify Payments.

Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Tariff-related uncertainties and softening consumer spending are cited as significant headwinds impacting smaller merchants and overall demand.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
SHOP-5.27%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
SHOP-4.58%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
SHOP+146.42%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.57%
5-Year Return
SHOP-2.91%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+61.87%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
90.4x
Forward P/EExpansion
78.0x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
91.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
90.4x
68.6x
67th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
91.5x
139.2x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
72.6x
111.5x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$18.00-87.9%
Base (Fair)$134.04-10.0%
Bull$36.28-75.6%
$18.00 Bear$134.04 Base$36.28 Bull
Current Market Price: $148.91
Trades at a 11.1% premium to Base DCF ($134.04)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$11.56B+30.1% YoY
Net income FY25
$1.23B-39.0% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$2.01B+25.7% YoY
Operating margin FY25
12.7%+0.6 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)9.4%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)9.8%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 3, 2026
$0.49+6.2%
vs $0.46
$3.7B-0.6%
vs $3.7B
Q3 2026
Aug 5, 2026
$0.42+5.7%
vs $0.40
$3.5B+4.2%
vs $3.4B
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$0.36+10.4%
vs $0.33
$3.1B+1.4%
vs $3.1B
Q1 2026
Feb 11, 2026
$0.46-9.1%
vs $0.51
$3.6B+1.0%
vs $3.6B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
The Motley Fool·12h ago
2 Brilliant Stocks to Buy in November and Hold Forever

Shopify is helping its merchants thrive, with AI-driven orders surging in 2026. Duolingo is seeing accelerating daily user growth as it targets 1 billion users over the long term.

Seeking Alpha·19h ago
Shopify: A $185B E-Commerce Empire Growing 30%+ Annually

Shopify delivered a decent Q3, beating earnings expectations amid robust growth in Merchant Solutions and strong e-Commerce spending trends. SHOP's business model combines recurring subscription revenues with variable transaction fees, supporting robust 32% year-over-year total revenue growth and expanding free cash flow margins. Shares currently trade at a 58.7x forward P/E, with a fair value estimate of ~$160 per share, implying 11% upside.

The Motley Fool·1d ago
Shopify Stock Falls Despite Strong AI-Powered Growth. Should Investors Buy the Dip?

Despite a slight miss, Shopify's growth remains consistent. The stock is starting to look attractively valued after this dip.

Investors Business Daily·1d ago
Top Funds Feast On Shell, Microsoft, Palantir And 24 More Stocks

The best mutual funds place massive bets on Microsoft, Palantir and Apple. But that's just the start.

Filtered for Shopify Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark SHOP against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Shopify Inc. (SHOP)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
SHOP logoSHOPShopify Inc.Current
$148.91$193.23B158.4130.14%10.65%9.84%—
WIX logoWIXWix.com Ltd.
$76.09$3.99B86.4713.2%-8.19%——
GDDY logoGDDYGoDaddy Inc.
$114.38$15.15B18.368.26%18.56%1200.87%—
CART logoCARTMaplebear Inc.
$58.12$13.66B36.3310.78%12.02%17.63%—
PYPL logoPYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc.
$59.24$52.26B10.954.19%13.94%23.76%0.23%
BILL logoBILLBill.com Holdings, Inc.
$52.41$5.22B-476.4513.03%-0.68%-0.3%—

Compare SHOP vs Peers

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs WIX

Most directly comparable listed peer for SHOP.

Scale Benchmark

vs GOOGL

Larger-name benchmark to compare SHOP against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs WIX, GDDY, CART, PYPL

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

SHOP SEC Filings & Documents

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 2, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 11, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

Get notified when SHOP posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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SHOP Frequently Asked Questions

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Shopify Inc.'s revenue?

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) reported $14.17B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $11.56B in fiscal year 2025. That is 22896% more than the $50.3M of fiscal year 2013.

How fast is Shopify Inc. growing?

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) grew revenue by 30.1% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is SHOP profitable?

Yes. Shopify Inc. (SHOP) earned $2.13B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 15.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is SHOP's return on equity?

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) had a return on equity (ROE) of 9.8% in fiscal year 2025. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Shopify Inc.'s free cash flow?

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) generated $2.66B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in SHOP back in 2013?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 13+ years of data

See returns →