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TSCOTractor Supply Company
$36.35$19.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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TSCO logo

Tractor Supply Company

TSCO
NASDAQ · Specialty Retail Stores
$36.35
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$19.06B
P/E19.4x
52W High$56.94
Volume8.03M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Tractor Supply Faces Margin Compression and Leverage Pressure

Tractor Supply's fundamental outlook is increasingly defined by decelerating growth and structural margin strain, with quarterly revenue growth easing to 5.1% in 2026Q3 from a 7.2% peak in 2025Q3 and diluted EPS declining 12.2% year-over-year to $0.43.

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

TSCO price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

5/12 Beats

EPS beat 5 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-19% Peers

P/E is 19% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 63 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 63)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 22
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has decelerated to 5.1% in 2026Q3 while gross margin fell ~440 bps year-over-year to 33.0% and SG&A growth of 6.7% outpaced the top line, driving operating margin down to 7.9% from 9.2% and diluted EPS down 12.2%.

Analyst Consensus+0.8% target
Buy(51 analysts)
25 Buy25 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong market position

Tractor Supply Company is the largest rural lifestyle retailer in the United States, operating over 2,200 stores across 49 states.

Solid fundamentals

The company's stock has appreciated about 7.96% since coverage began, with fundamentals remaining solid.

Diverse product offerings

Tractor Supply Co. offers farm supplies, pet and animal feed, clothing, tools, fencing, and more, catering to a wide range of rural lifestyle needs.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
TSCO-27.09%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
TSCO-29.77%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
TSCO-1.97%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.80%
5-Year Return
TSCO-8.48%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+55.87%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
19.4x
Forward P/EExpansion
18.6x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
13.1x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
19.4x
24.9x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
13.1x
16.9x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
65.7x
43.2x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$9.85-72.9%
Base (Fair)$32.78-9.8%
Bull$52.44+44.3%
$9.85 Bear$32.78 Base$52.44 Bull
Current Market Price: $36.35
Trades at a 10.9% premium to Base DCF ($32.78)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$15.52B+4.3% YoY
Net income FY25
$1.1B-0.5% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$740M+16.3% YoY
Operating margin FY25
9.5%-0.4 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)14%
Avg ROIC 5Y17.5%
ROE (TTM)37.6%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
Revenue Beat Rate3/12 (25%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 22, 2026
$0.43+5.3%
vs $0.41
$3.9B+2.3%
vs $3.8B
Q3 2026
Jul 23, 2026
$0.81-1.0%
vs $0.82
$4.5B-0.8%
vs $4.6B
Q2 2026
Apr 21, 2026
$0.31-9.2%
vs $0.34
$3.6B-1.1%
vs $3.6B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$0.43-7.0%
vs $0.46
$3.9B-2.3%
vs $4.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Oct 27, 2026
Tractor Supply: Pet Recovery, Delivery Growth And Cost Cuts Support Upside

Tractor Supply remains a buy, driven by pet business recovery, digital growth, delivery traction, and cost-saving initiatives. TSCO's pet segment is rebounding through the Freshpet rollout, increased cat product focus, and integration of veterinary and pharmacy services. Digital sales grew 16%, and in-house delivery is capturing larger, higher-value orders, supporting top-line momentum.

Fool - Investing News·Oct 23, 2026
Split $5,000 Across These 5 Dividend Stocks and Don't Look Until 2031

Five consumer companies, five dividend checks, and five projects that will matter more in 2031 than they do today.

Seeking Alpha·Oct 23, 2026
Tractor Supply Q3: Caution Is Warranted (Rating Downgrade)

Tractor Supply Company reported better-than-expected Q3 results, sending the stock up. TSCO only beat very cautious expectations. Behind fair total revenue growth, TSCO's performance in existing stores was very subdued. Fuel prices that have risen again and other macroeconomic pressures continue to cloud TSCO's outlook.

The Motley Fool·Oct 23, 2026
Tractor Supply: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

Tractor Supply reinvested 40% of $100 million in tariff refunds into prices. Management targeted $75 million in annual cost cuts over two years.

Filtered for Tractor Supply CompanyMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark TSCO against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
TSCO logoTSCOTractor Supply CompanyCurrent
$36.35$19.06B19.404.31%6.13%37.64%2.52%
BOOT logoBOOTBoot Barn Holdings, Inc.
$130.96$3.97B15.7517.93%10.45%18.94%—
ORLY logoORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
$89.89$74.49B26.946.42%14.27%——
CASY logoCASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.
$687.64$25.49B33.0510.16%4.14%19.68%0.32%
WINA logoWINAWinmark Corporation
$265.23$952.75M23.615.86%45.11%—1.37%
CHWY logoCHWYChewy, Inc.
$22.56$9.34B33.806.24%2.09%62.13%—

Compare TSCO vs Peers

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs BOOT

Most directly comparable listed peer for TSCO.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare TSCO against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs BOOT, ORLY, CASY, WINA

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

TSCO SEC Filings & Documents

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 22, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 19, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 20, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 23, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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TSCO Frequently Asked Questions

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Tractor Supply Company's revenue?

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) reported $15.94B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $15.52B in fiscal year 2025. That is 3357% more than the $449.0M of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Tractor Supply Company growing?

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) grew revenue by 3.5% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is TSCO profitable?

Yes. Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) earned $977.3M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 6.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does TSCO pay dividends?

Yes. Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) pays a dividend that yields 2.52% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is TSCO's return on equity?

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) had a return on equity (ROE) of 37.6% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Tractor Supply Company's free cash flow?

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) generated $290.3M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in TSCO back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →