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TSCOTractor Supply Company
$32.84$17.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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TSCO logo

Tractor Supply Company

TSCO
NASDAQ · Specialty Retail
$32.84
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$17.22B
P/E15.9x
52W High$59.64
Volume12.13M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Leverage-Fueled Expansion Masks Decelerating Demand

Tractor Supply's defensive rural positioning is being tested by decelerating revenue growth (2.3% YoY in 2026Q2) and margin volatility, with gross margin swinging from 37.4% to 25.6% in recent quarters. The company is aggressively expanding its asset base, wit...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

TSCO price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

5/12 Beats

EPS beat 5 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-39% Peers

P/E is 39% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 32 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 68% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 23
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth decelerated to 2.3% YoY in 2026Q2, with operating margin contracting to 11.7% from 13.0% a year earlier, while gross margin volatility (25.6% to 37.4% range) signals pricing pressure.

Analyst Consensus+14.6% target
Hold(50 analysts)
24 Buy25 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong market position

Tractor Supply Company is the largest rural lifestyle retailer in the United States, operating over 2,200 stores across 49 states.

Solid fundamentals

The company's stock has appreciated about 7.96% since coverage began, with fundamentals remaining solid.

Diverse product offerings

Tractor Supply Co. offers farm supplies, pet and animal feed, clothing, tools, fencing, and more, catering to a wide range of rural lifestyle needs.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
TSCO-33.98%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
TSCO-41.88%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
TSCO-13.27%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+81.41%
5-Year Return
TSCO-12.62%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.20%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
15.7x
Forward P/E
16.7x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
11.6x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
15.7x
24.9x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
11.6x
16.9x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
22.9x
43.2x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$10.44-68.2%
Base (Fair)$35.76+11.0%
Bull$54.58+66.2%
$10.44 Bear$35.76 Base$54.58 Bull
Current Market Price: $32.84
Trades at a 8.2% discount to Base DCF ($35.76)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$15.52B+4.3% YoY
Net income
$1.1B-0.5% YoY
Free cash flow
$740M+16.3% YoY
Operating margin
9.5%-0.4 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)14%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)45.2%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
Revenue Beat Rate2/12 (17%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 23, 2026
$0.81-1.0%
vs $0.82
$4.5B-0.8%
vs $4.6B
Q2 2026
Apr 21, 2026
$0.31-9.2%
vs $0.34
$3.6B-1.1%
vs $3.6B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$0.43-7.0%
vs $0.46
$3.9B-2.3%
vs $4.0B
Q4 2025
Oct 23, 2025
$0.49+1.6%
vs $0.48
$3.7B+0.1%
vs $3.7B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Market Watch·Sep 16, 2026
15 stocks that have grown dividends the most — and nearly all have beaten the S&P 500

There is a correlation between increasing dividends and strong investment performance — even if a stock has a low dividend yield when you buy.

Business Wire·Sep 16, 2026
Petsense by Tractor Supply Launches Round-Up Campaign to Support K9s for Warriors

BRENTWOOD, Tenn.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Petsense by Tractor Supply, a wholly owned subsidiary of Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ: TSCO), invites customers nationwide to round up their purchases at checkout through Veterans Day, Nov. 11, to benefit K9s For Warriors, the nation's leading provider of trained service dogs to veterans living with PTSD and other invisible wounds of war. “Our customers have a way of showing up for their neighbors, and rounding up at the register is one of the simplest ways.

Business Wire·Sep 15, 2026
Tractor Supply and Starlink Turn Rural Connectivity Into Support for 4-H Youth

BRENTWOOD, Tenn.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ: TSCO), the largest rural lifestyle retailer in the United States (the “Company”), 4-H and Starlink today announced the next phase of their collaborative initiative to bridge the digital divide in rural communities. Now through November 15, when customers activate an eligible Starlink kit bought at any Tractor Supply store or on TractorSupply.com, Starlink will donate the value of the customer's first month of subscription servic.

Defense World·Sep 10, 2026
Tractor Supply Company $TSCO Shares Sold by Amundi

Amundi cut its stake in Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ: TSCO) by 38.1% in the second quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The institutional investor owned 2,754,724 shares of the specialty retailer's stock after selling 1,694,511 shares during the period. Amundi owned approximately 0.53% of Tractor

Filtered for Tractor Supply CompanyMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark TSCO against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
TSCO logoTSCOTractor Supply CompanyCurrent
$32.84$17.22B15.944.31%7.06%45.18%2.79%
BOOT logoBOOTBoot Barn Holdings, Inc.
$129.28$3.92B17.5917.93%10.35%18.78%—
ORLY logoORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
$85.82$71.12B28.906.42%14.27%——
CASY logoCASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.
$584.83$21.68B30.5210.16%4.14%19.68%—
WINA logoWINAWinmark Corporation
$293.92$1.06B26.015.86%47.06%——
CHWY logoCHWYChewy, Inc.
$19.66$8.14B37.816.24%1.68%49.51%—

Compare TSCO vs Peers

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs BOOT

Most directly comparable listed peer for TSCO.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare TSCO against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs BOOT, ORLY, CASY, WINA

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

TSCO SEC Filings & Documents

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 19, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 20, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 23, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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TSCO Frequently Asked Questions

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Tractor Supply Company's revenue?

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) reported $15.62B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 3380% increase from $449.0M in 1996.

How fast is Tractor Supply Company growing?

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) grew revenue by 4.3% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is TSCO profitable?

Yes, Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is profitable, generating $917.2M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (7.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does TSCO pay dividends?

Yes, Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) pays a dividend with a yield of 2.79%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is TSCO's return on equity?

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) has a return on equity (ROE) of 45.2%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Tractor Supply Company's free cash flow?

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) generated $165.2M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in TSCO back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →