VGZ trades 88.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $4.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes VGZ achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 2 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 22, 2026, Vista Gold Corp. (VGZ) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $4.50, based on estimates from 2 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $2.39, this represents a potential upside of +88.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $346M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $4.50 to a high of $4.50, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $4.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, VGZ trades at a trailing P/E of -39.9x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +0.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $0.01, with bear and bull scenarios of $0.01 and $0.01 respectively. Model confidence stands at 42/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GOROGold Resource Corporation | $183M | $1.33 | $2.00 | +50.4% | Buy | 26.6x | 4 |
USAUU.S. Gold Corp. | $261M | $15.85 | $27.50 | +73.5% | Buy | — | 4 |
MUXMcEwen Mining Inc. | $1.2B | $19.38 | $30.00 | +54.8% | Buy | 14.8x | 7 |
GPORGulfport Energy Corporation | $2.9B | $160.71 | $238.67 | +48.5% | Buy | 6.3x | 8 |
HLHecla Mining Company | $10.7B | $15.96 | $23.35 | +46.3% | Hold | 19.0x | 26 |
CDECoeur Mining, Inc. | $11.4B | $17.51 | $27.20 | +55.3% | Buy | 10.2x | 21 |
EXKEndeavour Silver Corp. | $2.5B | $8.61 | $12.75 | +48.1% | Buy | 10.3x | 14 |
PAASPan American Silver Corp. | $20.6B | $49.00 | $74.40 | +51.8% | Buy | 10.6x | 25 |
FSMFortuna Mining Corp. | $2.8B | $9.26 | $14.00 | +51.2% | Buy | 5.8x | 6 |
AGFirst Majestic Silver Corp. | $8.9B | $18.00 | $26.88 | +49.3% | Hold | 20.3x | 11 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying VGZ stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for VGZ is $4.5, representing 88.3% upside from the current price of $2.39. With 2 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
VGZ has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 2 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 2 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $4.5 implies 88.3% upside from current levels.
VGZ's current price is $2.39 with a consensus target of $4.5 (88.3% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $4.5 for VGZ, while the most conservative target is $4.5. The consensus of $4.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $0 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
VGZ is lightly followed, with 2 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month VGZ stock forecast based on 2 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $4.5, with estimates ranging from $4.5 (bear case) to $4.5 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $0, with bear/bull scenarios of $0/$0.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates VGZ's fair value at $0 (base case), with a bear case of $0 and bull case of $0. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on VGZ, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $4.5 price target (88.3% upside). 2 of 2 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
VGZ analyst price targets range from $4.5 to $4.5, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $4.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $0-$0 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
See how regular investing compounds over time.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.