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PGYPagaya Technologies Ltd.
$22.83
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

PGY is a market laggard (RS 67/99, Top 33%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-1291%
Q4'24
$-3.20
+129%
Q1'25
$0.10
+119%
Q2'25
$0.20
+125%
Q3'25
$0.23
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$22.83
50 DMA
$23.62
100 DMA
$28.41
150 DMA
$27.79
200 DMA
$24.10
Alignment Score: 2/4

PGY Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 67/99 is in Bottom 67% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
67 (Top 33%)>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Trend
Weak DowntrendAbove 200 DMA

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on PGY, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
67/99
Top 33% (Need 80+)
Trend
Weak Downtrend
Below 200 DMA
RSI (14)
50
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 1/9
Volume
3.7M
+10% vs avg
From Entry
+14.4%
$19.96

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+125%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+36%
Accelerating
F-Score
4/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
-73%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
39/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Lost Momentum

Broke out 6 months ago at $19.96 — +14% from entry but below EMA support.

Lost momentum. Wait for price to reclaim $23.58 (21 EMA) or form a new base.

Breakout Date2025-06-24206 days ago
Entry Was$19.96Breakout price
Gain Since+14%From entry
Reclaim$23.5821 EMA support

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 20 DMA$23.14+1.3%
  • 50 DMA$23.62+3.5%
  • 200 DMA$24.10+5.6%
Current$22.83

Support

  • 52W Low$8.50-62.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PGY stock a buy now?

PGY is a market laggard (RS 67/99, Top 33%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for PGY?

PGY broke out at $19.96 6 month(s) ago and is now +14% extended. Wait for a pullback to the 21 EMA or a new base pattern.

What is PGY's RS Rating?

PGY has an RS Rating of 67/99, meaning it's in the Top 33% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.