ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)
Valuation Overview•Is ProFrac Holding Corp. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a peer premium multiple, but this multiple is justified by a strong intrinsic cash flow value.
Fragile underlying quality score of 12/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Highly distressed profile flashing severe fundamental warning signs.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral alongside robust expected earnings growth. The company currently retains all capital for reinvestment and growth rather than returning it to shareholders.
ACDC struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. However, this is severely offset by a highly leveraged balance sheet (Debt/EBITDA > 4.0x) and elevated financial risk.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-7.1% 3Y CAGR) paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (-12.5%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $449.6M | -11.4% | -7.1% | +28.8% | — | |
| EBITDA | $51.6M | — | -25.3% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$83.5M | -71.5% | — | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.52 | -66.7% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$31.4M | -82.5% | -30.7% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | -0.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% |
| Operating Margin | -12.5% | -1.1% | 2.3% | -1.1% |
| Net Margin | -24.2% | -10.8% | -7.2% | -5.6% |
| FCF Margin | 0.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $-0.37 | $-0.47 | -27.0% | ||
| Q1'26 | $-0.44 | $-0.51 | -15.9% | ||
| Q1'26 | $-0.44 | $-0.51 | -15.9% | ||
| Q4'25 | $-0.43 | $-0.60 | -39.5% | ||
| Q3'25 | $-0.29 | $-0.67 | -131.0% | ||
| Q2'25 | $-0.32 | $-0.11 | +65.6% | ||
| Q1'25 | $-0.39 | $-0.63 | -61.5% | ||
| Q1'25 | $-0.39 | $-0.63 | -61.5% |
Total return is -36.9% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -61.9%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +50.2% | +40.9% | — |
| 1Y | -36.9% | -61.9% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -21.7% | -39.8% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -19.6% | -31.3% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -10.4% | -23.5% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) valuation, health, and returns.
ProFrac Holding Corp. is estimated to be undervalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Limited: Expensive versus peers compared to industry peers. undervalued (implying +80.1% upside to DCF intrinsic value of $10.93)
ProFrac Holding Corp. has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $10.93 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $3.84 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $6.00 (implying -1.2% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
ProFrac Holding Corp. displays poor financial health with a composite quality score of 12/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 0.0 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -4.6%.
ProFrac Holding Corp. does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
ProFrac Holding Corp.'s current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -11.4% 1Y revenue growth and -66.7% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -7.1%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 6 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 25% of recent quarters with a -5-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a -1.2% change from current levels.
Investment risks for ProFrac Holding Corp. include: -66.0% 1-year max drawdown, elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.45x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.