Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)
Valuation Overview•Is Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a premium valuation multiple over its peers, likely pricing in superior execution.
Fragile underlying quality score of 26/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Highly distressed profile flashing severe fundamental warning signs.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. However, capital return yields remain modest, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
AEBI struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. However, this is severely offset by a highly leveraged balance sheet (Debt/EBITDA > 4.0x) and elevated financial risk.
The company maintains stable top-line performance paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (4.9%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $581.3M | +40.6% | — | — | — | |
| EBITDA | $43.2M | — | — | — | — | |
| Net Income | $887K | -68.3% | — | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.01 | -57.5% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$25.1M | -109.5% | — | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 18.5% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 20.4% |
| Operating Margin | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| Net Margin | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| FCF Margin | -0.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.02 | $0.01 | -50.0% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.26 | $0.15 | -41.8% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.10 | $0.02 | -80.0% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.14 | $-0.06 | -142.9% | ||
| Q2'25 | — | $0.03 | — | ||
| Q1'24 | — | $0.11 | — |
Total return is -85.1% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -110.1%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -1.7% | -11.0% | — |
| 1Y | -85.1% | -110.1% | +0.1% |
| 3YCAGR | -47.0% | -66.9% | +0.1% |
| 5YCAGR | -31.6% | -44.5% | +0.1% |
| 10YCAGR | -17.3% | -31.2% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Aebi Schmidt Holding AG appears Slightly expensive versus peers compared to industry peers.
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $11.20 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $15.75 (implying +27.7% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG displays weak financial health with a composite quality score of 26/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 1.4 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 4.9%.
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG pays a 1.9% dividend yield, covered by a 138% payout ratio with 1 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.0% buyback yield.
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG's current growth trajectory is Stable. The company achieved +40.6% 1Y revenue growth and -57.5% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of N/A.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 2 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 0% of recent quarters with a -4-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +27.7% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Aebi Schmidt Holding AG include: -88.9% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (1.99x market volatility), elevated distress risk, stretched payout ratio. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.99x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.