AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD)
Valuation Overview•Is AMTD IDEA Group Overvalued or Undervalued?
The market is pricing the stock in line with historical averages, assuming steady-state growth.
Moderate quality score of 69/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Solid fundamental quality, though growth presents a headwind.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
AMTD demonstrates strong business quality with robust profitability and healthy margins. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.
The company maintains stable top-line performance however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 66.7% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $24.4M | -55.9% | — | — | -18.1% | |
| EBITDA | $12.8M | — | -41.5% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $8.4M | -64.3% | -31.3% | — | -6.6% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.54 | -68.5% | -42.6% | -26.8% | -13.7% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.2M | -87.1% | -54.8% | -43.7% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 76.2% | 80.1% | 79.0% | 89.3% |
| Operating Margin | 66.7% | 72.8% | 79.9% | 72.6% |
| Net Margin | 106.1% | 100.4% | 98.7% | 74.6% |
| FCF Margin | 25.5% | 19.1% | 54.1% | 41.3% |
Total return is -3.3% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -28.3%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -6.4% | -15.7% | — |
| 1Y | -3.3% | -28.3% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -41.4% | -60.0% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -52.8% | -65.1% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -21.9% | -35.5% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about AMTD (AMTD) valuation, health, and returns.
AMTD valuation is being assessed using available models.
Valuation anchors are currently not available.
AMTD displays good financial health with a composite quality score of 69/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 1.2%.
AMTD pays a 40.3% dividend yield, covered by a 8% payout ratio with 0 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.0% buyback yield.
AMTD's current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -55.9% 1Y revenue growth and -68.5% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of N/A.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 0 analysts. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for AMTD include: -32.8% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.09x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.