Atai Beckley Inc. (ATAI)
Valuation Overview•Is Atai Beckley Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Market price has outpaced base-case intrinsic cash flows, pricing in significant future growth optimism.
Fragile underlying quality score of 44/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Confirm your valuation thesis with live pattern overlays, key pivot levels, and AI trade plans.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant profitability concerns.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral alongside robust expected earnings growth. The company currently dilutes shareholders to fund operations and growth rather than returning capital.
ATAI struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($83M) and minimal debt risk.
The company is driving exceptional top-line expansion (159.9% 3Y CAGR) paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (-3274.3%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.7M | +1227.6% | +159.9% | — | — | |
| EBITDA | -$43.9M | — | +11.9% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$32.5M | -342.2% | -63.0% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.09 | -212.9% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$35.3M | -25.5% | +0.6% | -37.8% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 86.3% | 6.7% | 29.6% | 29.6% |
| Operating Margin | -3274.3% | -25246.6% | -27663.5% | -27663.5% |
| Net Margin | -14938.4% | -25805.4% | -28728.2% | -28728.2% |
| FCF Margin | -2978.8% | -18768.7% | -20379.5% | -20379.5% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26Latest | $-0.11 | $-0.09 | +15.6% | ||
| Q2'26 | $-0.11 | $-0.08 | +27.3% | ||
| Q1'26 | $-0.12 | $-0.05 | +58.3% | ||
| Q4'25 | $-0.12 | $-0.28 | -133.3% | ||
| Q3'25 | $-0.12 | $-0.14 | -16.7% | ||
| Q2'25 | $-0.19 | $-0.15 | +21.1% | ||
| Q1'25 | $-0.14 | $-0.24 | -71.4% | ||
| Q4'24 | $-0.15 | $-0.16 | -6.7% |
Total return is +151.3% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +135.6%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +264.3% | +252.0% | — |
| 1Y | +151.3% | +135.6% | +120.3% |
| 3YCAGR | +122.5% | +99.7% | +527.3% |
| 5YCAGR | -2.8% | -14.5% | +41.5% |
| 10YCAGR | +0.3% | -13.2% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Atai Beckley Inc. (ATAI) valuation, health, and returns.
Atai Beckley Inc. is estimated to be overvalued under our discounted cash flow framework. overvalued (implying -26.5% downside from DCF intrinsic value of $5.40)
Atai Beckley Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $5.40 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $7.69 (implying +4.6% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Atai Beckley Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 44/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 12.0 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -57.0%.
Atai Beckley Inc. does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
Atai Beckley Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +1227.6% 1Y revenue growth and -212.9% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +159.9%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 8 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 58% of recent quarters with a 3-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +4.6% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Atai Beckley Inc. include: -48.1% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.22x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.