MODEL VERDICT
Beyond Meat, Inc. (BYND)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.61 | $0.72 | CURRENT | +51.7% |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.61 | $0.71 | Pending | +5.6% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.61 | $0.75 | Pending | -20.5% |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $0.97 | Monitoring | -38.5% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $1.09 | Monitoring | -32.9% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Sales 35 industry peers | $3.84 | +429.7% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $14.04 | +1837.2% | 100% | 54 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 20.20 | 21.21 | 8.32 | 31.07 | 11.41 |
| P/B Ratio | 20.20 | 21.21 | 8.32 | 31.07 | 11.41 |
| P/S Ratio | 7.17 | 5.36 | 0.76 | 19.14 | 7.19 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 3 valuation metrics, the model estimates BYND's fair value at $14.04 vs the current price of $0.72, implying +1837.2% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 54/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $14.04 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $0.97 (P10) to $14.57 (P90), with a median of $6.85.
BYND's current P/E of -0.3x compares to the industry median of 19.3x (29 peers in the group). This represents a -101.6% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
21 analysts cover BYND with a consensus rating of Sell. The consensus price target is $44.55 (range: $3.00 — $122.00), implying +6044.8% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (1), Hold (8), Sell (12), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 54/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (16), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for BYND.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.