MODEL VERDICT
ClearSign Technologies Corporation (CLIR)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.15 | $5.84 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 4 industry peers | $0.40 | -93.2% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 4 industry peers | $0.11 | -98.1% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $6.09 | +4.3% | 100% | 45 | FAIRLY VALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 53.12 | 54.48 | 15.34 | 99.00 | 34.93 |
| P/B Ratio | 46.69 | 51.20 | 13.80 | 85.49 | 29.52 |
| P/S Ratio | 406.49 | 438.38 | 177.84 | 710.02 | 223.89 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates CLIR's fair value at $6.09 vs the current price of $5.84, implying +4.3% upside potential. Model verdict: Fairly Valued. Confidence: 45/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $6.09 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $1.27 (P10) to $6.09 (P90), with a median of $3.66.
CLIR's current P/E of -53.1x compares to the industry median of 35.4x (2 peers in the group). This represents a -250.1% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
1 analysts cover CLIR with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is N/A (range: N/A — N/A), implying N/A upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (1), Hold (0), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 45/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (22), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: --10 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for CLIR.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.