MODEL VERDICT
DHI Group, Inc. (DHX)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA 17 industry peers | $0.72 | -72.4% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Industry Median P/E 12 industry peers | $0.10 | -96.2% | 15% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 14 industry peers | $2.37 | -9.2% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 16 industry peers | $1.62 | -37.9% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 14 industry peers | $1.43 | -45.2% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 18 industry peers | $1.53 | -41.4% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 18 industry peers | $2.39 | -8.4% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Earnings Yield 14 industry peers | $0.11 | -95.8% | 2% | B | Data |
| FCF Yield 14 industry peers | $2.32 | -11.1% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $1.34 | -48.6% | 100% | 75 | SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 392× | 429× | 466× (Current) | 503× | 540× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (2%) | $2 | $2 | $3 | $3 | $3 |
| Conservative (5%) | $2 | $3 | $3 | $3 | $3 |
| Base Case (-52.8%) | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
| Bull Case (-71%) | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 86.29 | 32.99 | 10.86 | 316.07 | 129.92 |
| EV/EBIT | 23.75 | 19.31 | 5.09 | 54.41 | 18.35 |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.63 | 7.92 | 4.02 | 20.80 | 6.23 |
| P/FCF | 32.20 | 17.79 | 11.22 | 105.44 | 33.83 |
| P/FFO | 6.56 | 5.65 | 4.38 | 11.36 | 2.88 |
| P/AFFO | 172.76 | 19.17 | 10.95 | 748.34 | 322.52 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.27 | 0.96 | 0.52 | 2.48 | 0.79 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.16 | 0.96 | 0.47 | 2.41 | 0.69 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 23 valuation metrics, the model estimates DHX's fair value at $1.34 vs the current price of $2.61, implying -48.6% downside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Overvalued. Confidence: 75/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $1.34 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $1.18 (P10) to $2.70 (P90), with a median of $1.86.
DHX's current P/E of 466.1x compares to the industry median of 18.3x (12 peers in the group). This represents a +2447.1% premium to the industry. The historical average P/E is 86.3x over 5 years. Signal: High Premium.
No analyst coverage data is available for DHX.
The model confidence score is 75/100, based on: data completeness (24), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Multiple compression: DHX trades at the N/Ath percentile of its historical P/E range. A reversion to median (86.3×) would imply significant downside. (2) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for DHX.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.