MODEL VERDICT
Datavault AI Inc. (DVLT)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.51 | $0.73 | CURRENT | +5.1% |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.51 | $0.79 | Below threshold | -11.4% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.51 | $0.74 | Below threshold | -8.4% |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $0.92 | Monitoring | -26.3% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $1.38 | Monitoring | -50.1% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 50 industry peers | $1.23 | +68.4% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 50 industry peers | $2.48 | +239.6% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $1.56 | +113.1% | 100% | 38 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 4 valuation metrics, the model estimates DVLT's fair value at $1.56 vs the current price of $0.73, implying +113.1% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 38/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $1.56 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%).
DVLT's current P/E of -0.0x compares to the industry median of 18.4x (37 peers in the group). This represents a -100.3% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
2 analysts cover DVLT with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $4.00 (range: $4.00 — $4.00), implying +447.8% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (2), Hold (0), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 38/100, based on: data completeness (0), peer quality (25), historical depth (5), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows weak agreement across inputs — interpret with caution.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for DVLT.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.