MODEL VERDICT
Georgia Power Company 5% JR SUB NT 77 (GPJA)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Median P/E 49 industry peers | $8130.49 | +35142.7% | 22% | A | Peer Data |
| EV/EBITDA 48 industry peers | $13742.21 | +59467.4% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Dividend Yield 42 industry peers | $9227.00 | +39895.7% | 18% | B | Supplementary |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 12 industry peers | $222.49 | +864.4% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 48 industry peers | $11729.84 | +50744.6% | 7% | B+ | Peer Data |
| Peg Ratio 31 industry peers | $14029.23 | +60711.6% | 5% | B | Data |
| EV To Revenue 48 industry peers | $4363.69 | +18815.0% | 4% | B | Data |
| Earnings Yield 48 industry peers | $8184.03 | +35374.8% | 4% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $7154.76 | +30913.3% | 100% | 73 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 4× (Current) | 4× | 4× | 4× | 4× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (7%) | $1703 | $1703 | $1703 | $1703 | $1703 |
| Conservative (11%) | $1769 | $1769 | $1769 | $1769 | $1769 |
| Base Case (16.5%) | $1861 | $1861 | $1861 | $1861 | $1861 |
| Bull Case (22%) | $1954 | $1954 | $1954 | $1954 | $1954 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 0.41 | 0.12 |
| EV/EBIT | 6.12 | 6.20 | 4.32 | 8.05 | 1.13 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.99 | 4.04 | 1.69 | 7.13 | 1.66 |
| P/FFO | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| P/TBV | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Div Yield | 7.95 | 7.11 | 5.83 | 12.41 | 2.21 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.00 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 20 valuation metrics, the model estimates GPJA's fair value at $7154.76 vs the current price of $23.07, implying +30913.3% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 73/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $7154.76 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $4668.72 (P10) to $6869.56 (P90), with a median of $5755.09.
GPJA's current P/E of 0.1x compares to the industry median of 20.4x (49 peers in the group). This represents a -99.7% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 0.2x over 7 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
No analyst coverage data is available for GPJA.
The model confidence score is 73/100, based on: data completeness (22), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for GPJA.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.