MODEL VERDICT
LG Display Co., Ltd. (LPL) — Relative Valuation
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $5.06 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $4.76 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $4.00 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $3.98 | CURRENT | — |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.62 | $4.17 | Pending | -4.8% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 5 analyst estimates | $15562.34 | +307456.1% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 6 industry peers | $97724.85 | +1931221.1% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 5 industry peers | $6575.49 | +129850.4% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV To Revenue 8 industry peers | $87046.82 | +1720192.9% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 8 industry peers | $91389.58 | +1806018.2% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| FCF Yield 5 industry peers | $6677.44 | +131865.2% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $24407.83 | +482268.2% | 100% | 70 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 2.80 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 8.42 | 3.08 |
| P/FFO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| P/TBV | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.61 | 0.28 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.56 | 0.26 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 15 valuation metrics, the model estimates LPL's fair value at $24407.83 vs the current price of $5.06, implying +482268.2% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 70/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $24407.83 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $17145.21 (P10) to $42520.74 (P90), with a median of $29459.18.
LPL's current P/E of -2.7x compares to the industry median of 29.1x (3 peers in the group). This represents a -109.2% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
14 analysts cover LPL with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is N/A (range: N/A — N/A), implying N/A upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (4), Hold (9), Sell (1), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 70/100, based on: data completeness (18), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for LPL.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.