LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU)
Valuation Overview•Is LSB Industries, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a premium valuation multiple over its peers, likely pricing in superior execution.
Moderate quality score of 55/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant profitability concerns.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. However, capital return yields remain modest, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
LXU demonstrates adequate business quality with stable profitability. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-12.0% 3Y CAGR) however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. Operating efficiency remains adequate with margins around 12.5%.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $169.5M | +17.8% | -12.0% | +11.9% | -1.4% | |
| EBITDA | $42.9M | — | -27.3% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $19.7M | +227.2% | -52.5% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.27 | +225.9% | -49.8% | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $51.8M | +415.9% | -60.8% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 19.6% | 13.5% | 20.9% | 10.3% |
| Operating Margin | 12.5% | 6.0% | 14.0% | 1.7% |
| Net Margin | 7.2% | 1.7% | 7.7% | 0.7% |
| FCF Margin | 25.2% | 4.5% | 11.3% | -3.9% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.13 | $0.27 | +108.3% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.18 | $0.22 | +22.2% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.07 | $0.10 | +42.9% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.18 | $0.04 | -77.8% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.02 | $-0.02 | -200.0% | ||
| Q1'25 | $-0.01 | $0.07 | +800.0% | ||
| Q4'24 | $-0.07 | $-0.11 | -57.1% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.13 | $0.13 | +0.0% |
Total return is +31.4% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +6.4%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +32.8% | +23.5% | — |
| 1Y | +31.4% | +6.4% | — |
| 3YCAGR | +4.8% | -13.8% | — |
| 5YCAGR | +20.4% | +7.4% | — |
| 10YCAGR | +1.5% | -11.9% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, LSB Industries, Inc. appears Expensive versus peers compared to industry peers.
LSB Industries, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $6.13 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $15.50 (implying +36.2% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
LSB Industries, Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 55/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 1.4 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 4.7%.
LSB Industries, Inc. does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
LSB Industries, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +17.8% 1Y revenue growth and +225.9% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -12.0%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 11 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 50% of recent quarters with a 3-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +36.2% change from current levels.
Investment risks for LSB Industries, Inc. include: -32.6% 1-year max drawdown, elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.22x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.