Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METCB)
Valuation Overview•Is Ramaco Resources, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a premium valuation multiple over its peers, likely pricing in superior execution.
Fragile underlying quality score of 19/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Highly distressed profile flashing severe fundamental warning signs.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral alongside robust expected earnings growth. However, capital return yields remain modest, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
METCB struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-1.7% 3Y CAGR) paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (-12.6%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $121.6M | -19.5% | -1.7% | +26.0% | — | |
| EBITDA | -$7.2M | — | -58.4% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$18.3M | -559.7% | — | — | -36.2% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.37 | -590.5% | — | — | -33.1% | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$52.4M | -238.8% | — | -39.7% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 1.3% | 11.1% | 17.7% | 12.0% |
| Operating Margin | -12.6% | 1.9% | 9.3% | -11.2% |
| Net Margin | -11.5% | 1.3% | 7.7% | -11.2% |
| FCF Margin | -26.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | -53.0% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | — | $-0.30 | — | ||
| Q1'26 | — | $-0.26 | — | ||
| Q4'25 | — | $-0.25 | — | ||
| Q3'25 | — | $-0.29 | — | ||
| Q2'25 | — | $-0.20 | — | ||
| Q1'25 | — | $0.06 | — | ||
| Q4'24 | — | $-0.03 | — | ||
| Q3'24 | — | $0.08 | — |
Total return is +45.4% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +20.4%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -20.3% | -29.6% | — |
| 1Y | +45.4% | +20.4% | +9.2% |
| 3YCAGR | +8.8% | -9.9% | +25.1% |
| 5YCAGR | +5.2% | -6.8% | +25.1% |
| 10YCAGR | +2.6% | -10.8% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METCB) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Ramaco Resources, Inc. appears Limited: Expensive versus peers compared to industry peers.
Ramaco Resources, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $0.20. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Ramaco Resources, Inc. displays poor financial health with a composite quality score of 19/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 1.0 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -8.9%.
Ramaco Resources, Inc. pays a 0.9% dividend yield, covered by a 0% payout ratio with 0 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.0% buyback yield.
Ramaco Resources, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -19.5% 1Y revenue growth and -590.5% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -1.7%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 3 analysts. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for Ramaco Resources, Inc. include: -55.3% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (1.53x market volatility), elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.53x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.