New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW)
Valuation Overview•Is New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a premium valuation multiple over its peers, likely pricing in superior execution.
Fragile underlying quality score of 15/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Highly distressed profile flashing severe fundamental warning signs.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral. The company currently dilutes shareholders to fund operations and growth rather than returning capital.
NCEW struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-57.8% 3Y CAGR) paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (-4.2%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.7M | -89.2% | -57.8% | — | — | |
| EBITDA | -$861K | — | — | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$933K | -720.6% | — | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.04 | -645.5% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.00 | -131.0% | — | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| Operating Margin | -4.2% | -7.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| Net Margin | -4.5% | -7.5% | -1.1% | -1.1% |
| FCF Margin | 2.2% | -4.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Total return is +104.1% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +83.2%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +204.6% | +197.3% | — |
| 1Y | +104.1% | +83.2% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -15.8% | -35.3% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -9.8% | -21.4% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -5.0% | -18.8% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (NCEW) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited appears Limited: Expensive versus peers compared to industry peers.
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $5.28. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited displays poor financial health with a composite quality score of 15/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 47.6 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -17.9%.
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited's current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -89.2% 1Y revenue growth and -645.5% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -57.8%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 0 analysts. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited include: -61.6% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.08x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.