MODEL VERDICT
Nyxoah S.A. (NYXH)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 37 industry peers | $0.92 | -80.5% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 38 industry peers | $0.52 | -89.0% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $7.43 | +57.0% | 100% | 48 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 3.18 | 3.35 | 1.60 | 4.44 | 1.35 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.10 | 1.82 | 1.07 | 3.68 | 1.18 |
| P/S Ratio | 192.96 | 49.86 | 29.85 | 642.29 | 299.77 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates NYXH's fair value at $7.43 vs the current price of $4.73, implying +57.0% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 48/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $7.43 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $0.59 (P10) to $19.45 (P90), with a median of $6.78.
NYXH's current P/E of -2.2x compares to the industry median of 33.6x (18 peers in the group). This represents a -106.6% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
5 analysts cover NYXH with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $10.00 (range: $9.00 — $11.00), implying +111.4% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (5), Hold (0), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 48/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (10), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for NYXH.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.