MODEL VERDICT
Owens & Minor, Inc. (OMI)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 7 analyst estimates | $20.05 | +738.9% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV To Revenue 7 industry peers | $1.86 | -22.2% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 7 industry peers | $28.69 | +1100.4% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $17.69 | +640.0% | 100% | 62 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 46.56 | 57.55 | 14.80 | 67.34 | 27.94 |
| EV/EBIT | 20.36 | 16.59 | 11.40 | 35.11 | 10.05 |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.68 | 10.44 | 9.24 | 54.27 | 17.96 |
| P/FCF | 12.12 | 6.87 | 2.74 | 44.08 | 15.88 |
| P/FFO | 10.01 | 10.52 | 5.93 | 15.20 | 4.08 |
| P/AFFO | 21.01 | 22.04 | 12.51 | 27.45 | 7.19 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.75 | 1.58 | 0.68 | 3.50 | 0.98 |
| Div Yield | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 0.34 | 0.10 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 7 valuation metrics, the model estimates OMI's fair value at $17.69 vs the current price of $2.39, implying +640.0% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 62/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $17.69 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $14.14 (P10) to $23.90 (P90), with a median of $18.69.
OMI's current P/E of -0.5x compares to the industry median of 35.0x (5 peers in the group). This represents a -101.4% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 46.6x over 3 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
10 analysts cover OMI with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $7.00 (range: $4.00 — $10.00), implying +192.9% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (3), Hold (5), Sell (2), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 62/100, based on: data completeness (9), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (4). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for OMI.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.