MODEL VERDICT
SoundHound AI, Inc. (SOUN)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.59 | $9.56 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.59 | $8.19 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.59 | $8.08 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.59 | $7.85 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.59 | $6.43 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 6 industry peers | $4.00 | -58.2% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 6 industry peers | $3.21 | -66.4% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $546.09 | +5612.2% | 100% | 48 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/B Ratio | 2443.80 | 36.76 | 17.26 | 7277.37 | 4186.01 |
| P/S Ratio | 5018.89 | 44.94 | 8.95 | 19976.75 | 9971.96 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates SOUN's fair value at $546.09 vs the current price of $9.56, implying +5612.2% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 48/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $546.09 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $2.64 (P10) to $1680.34 (P90), with a median of $456.91.
SOUN's current P/E of -34.1x compares to the industry median of 32.9x (6 peers in the group). This represents a -203.7% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
8 analysts cover SOUN with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $13.33 (range: $11.00 — $15.00), implying +39.4% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (5), Hold (3), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 48/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (10), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for SOUN.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.