Is Theriva Biologics, Inc. (TOVX) Overvalued or Undervalued?Intrinsic Value Overview
Theriva Biologics, Inc. (TOVX)
Theriva Biologics, Inc. (TOVX) intrinsic value summary: current price $0.19, fair value N/A, N/A implied move via DCF and relative valuation.
Method Breakdown
Base blend: 60% DCF + 40% RelativeCompany Quality
Weak fundamentals — significant concerns
Wall St Estimates
Shareholder Returns
Total Return vs S&P 500
Fundamental Analysis
Profitability & Financial HealthProfitability
Returns & MarginsSolvency
Financial HealthGrowth & Margins
Quarterly Trends · 5-Year Window · Hover for detailPiotroski F-Score
Fundamental QualityMonte Carlo Distribution & Risk
10,000 SimulationsAnnual Returns vs SPY
Total Return (Price + Dividends)| Year | Stock Return | SPY Return | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026YTD | -23.1% | +0.4% | -23.5% |
| 2025 | -87.3% | +16.6% | -103.9% |
| 2024 | -84.1% | +24.0% | -108.1% |
| 2023 | -20.1% | +24.8% | -44.9% |
| 2022 | -84.8% | -19.9% | -64.8% |
| 2021 | -45.6% | +28.8% | -74.4% |
| 2020 | -23.7% | +15.1% | -38.8% |
| 2019Best | -14.2% | +28.7% | -42.8% |
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs TOVX a good stock to buy right now?
Based on our multi-model analysis of Theriva Biologics, Inc. (TOVX) at $0.19: Fundamental quality score: 30/100 (below average). This is a quantitative summary combining DCF intrinsic value, peer-based relative valuation, quality scoring, and analyst consensus — not a buy/sell recommendation. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before investing.
ValuationWhat is Theriva Biologics, Inc.'s fair value?
Fair value data is not yet available for TOVX.
QualityIs TOVX financially healthy?
Theriva Biologics, Inc.'s financial health as measured by our composite scoring: Overall quality score: 30/100. Piotroski F-Score: 1/9 (weak fundamentals). Altman Z-Score: -15.7 (distress zone — elevated risk). Return on invested capital: -142.7%. Cash conversion (OCF/NI): 0.66x (earnings exceed cash generation). The quality score blends profitability (ROIC, ROE, margins), solvency (leverage, coverage, Z-Score), and growth trajectory into a single 0–100 framework updated end-of-day.
PerformanceHow has TOVX performed compared to the S&P 500?
Theriva Biologics, Inc.'s performance profile: 1-year total return: -86.1%. 1-year alpha vs S&P 500: -102.8% (underperforming the benchmark). 5-year CAGR: -73.3%. Maximum drawdown (1Y): -87.9%. Relative Strength rating: 12/99 (weak momentum). Beta: 0.80 (less volatile than the market). Total returns include reinvested dividends. Alpha is calculated against the S&P 500 Total Return Index over matching periods.
IncomeDoes TOVX pay dividends?
Theriva Biologics, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend or conduct significant share buybacks. The company is retaining capital for reinvestment.
EstimatesWhat do Wall Street analysts say about TOVX?
No analyst coverage data available for TOVX.
RiskWhat are the key risks of investing in TOVX?
Key risks identified for Theriva Biologics, Inc.: Drawdown risk: The stock experienced a -87.9% max drawdown in the past year. Solvency risk: Altman Z-Score (-15.7) is in the distress zone, indicating elevated bankruptcy risk. Note: This model does not capture regulatory changes, management decisions, competitive disruption, or geopolitical events. Macro and qualitative risks remain material and should be assessed independently.
LegalDoes this dashboard provide investment advice?
No. This overview dashboard aggregates data from our DCF intrinsic value model, relative peer multiples model, proprietary estimates engine, and third-party analyst consensus feeds. It is strictly for educational and informational purposes. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, quality scores, and signals are automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as investment recommendations. Consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.