MODEL VERDICT
Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 29 analyst estimates | $4.81 | -12.5% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV To Revenue 35 industry peers | $1.22 | -77.8% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 35 industry peers | $0.63 | -88.5% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $4.95 | -9.9% | 100% | 29 | SLIGHTLY OVERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 7 valuation metrics, the model estimates VENU's fair value at $4.95 vs the current price of $5.50, implying -9.9% downside potential. Model verdict: Slightly Overvalued. Confidence: 29/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $4.95 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $2.48 (P10) to $5.16 (P90), with a median of $3.80.
VENU's current P/E of -6.8x compares to the industry median of 23.2x (26 peers in the group). This represents a -129.3% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
No analyst coverage data is available for VENU.
The model confidence score is 29/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (5), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: --15 points. The model shows weak agreement across inputs — interpret with caution.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for VENU.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.