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ASTL vs CLF
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Steel
ASTL vs CLF — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Steel | Steel |
| Market Cap | $534M | $6.35B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.09B | $18.61B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-985M | $-1.48B |
| Gross Margin | -31.4% | -4.6% |
| Operating Margin | -61.4% | -7.5% |
| Total Debt | $673M | $7.25B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $267M | $57M |
ASTL vs CLF — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Algoma Steel Group … (ASTL) | 100 | 52.6 | -47.4% |
| Cleveland-Cliffs In… (CLF) | 100 | 55.4 | -44.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ASTL vs CLF
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ASTL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 2.23, yield 3.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.23, Low D/E 44.6%, current ratio 3.07x
- Beta 2.23, yield 3.8%, current ratio 3.07x
CLF carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -3.0%, EPS growth -91.1%, 3Y rev CAGR -6.8%
- 227.4% 10Y total return vs ASTL's -40.4%
- -3.0% revenue growth vs ASTL's -12.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -3.0% revenue growth vs ASTL's -12.2% | |
| Quality / Margins | -7.9% margin vs ASTL's -47.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.23 vs CLF's 2.36, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.8% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +29.5% vs ASTL's -5.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -7.4% ROA vs ASTL's -37.2%, ROIC -7.5% vs -12.7% |
ASTL vs CLF — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ASTL vs CLF — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CLF leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CLF is the larger business by revenue, generating $18.6B annually — 8.9x ASTL's $2.1B. CLF is the more profitable business, keeping -7.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ASTL's -47.2%. On growth, CLF holds the edge at -0.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.1B | $18.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$924M | -$168M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$985M | -$1.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$422M | -$1.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -31.4% | -4.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -61.4% | -7.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -47.2% | -7.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -20.3% | -5.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -23.0% | -0.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.7% | +46.7% |
Valuation Metrics
ASTL leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $534M | $6.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $833M | $13.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.37x | -3.72x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.30x | 0.34x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.50x | 0.87x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
CLF leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CLF delivers a -23.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-23 in annual profit, vs $-95 for ASTL. ASTL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.45x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CLF's 1.15x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -95.1% | -23.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -37.2% | -7.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -12.7% | -7.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -11.9% | -8.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.45x | 1.15x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $406M | $7.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $267M | $57M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $673M | $7.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -12.82x | -2.36x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ASTL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ASTL five years ago would be worth $5,926 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,450 for CLF. Over the past 12 months, CLF leads with a +29.5% total return vs ASTL's -5.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ASTL at -8.7% vs CLF's -9.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +29.8% | -18.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -5.9% | +29.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -24.0% | -26.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -40.7% | -45.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -40.4% | +227.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -8.7% | -9.6% |
Risk & Volatility
ASTL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ASTL is the less volatile stock with a 2.23 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CLF's 2.36 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ASTL currently trades 70.2% from its 52-week high vs CLF's 66.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.23x | 2.36x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $7.25 | $16.70 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.02 | $5.63 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +70.2% | +66.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.1 | 61.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 17.2M |
Analyst Outlook
ASTL leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ASTL as "Buy" and CLF as "Hold". ASTL is the only dividend payer here at 3.82% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $11.11 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 43 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.8% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.26 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
ASTL leads in 4 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). CLF leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency).
ASTL vs CLF: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ASTL or CLF a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.
(CLF) is the stronger pick with -3. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 2% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). Analysts rate Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ASTL or CLF?
Over the past 5 years, Algoma Steel Group Inc.
(ASTL) delivered a total return of -40. 7%, compared to -45. 5% for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CLF returned +227. 4% versus ASTL's -40. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ASTL or CLF?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Algoma Steel Group Inc.
(ASTL) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 23β versus Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. 's 2. 36β — meaning CLF is approximately 6% more volatile than ASTL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 45% versus 115% for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ASTL or CLF?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.
(CLF) is pulling ahead at -3. 0% versus -12. 2% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. grew EPS -91. 1% year-over-year, compared to -392. 9% for Algoma Steel Group Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CLF leads at -6. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ASTL or CLF?
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.
(CLF) is the more profitable company, earning -7. 9% net margin versus -9. 1% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. — meaning it keeps -7. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CLF leads at -7. 5% versus -12. 0% for ASTL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CLF leads at -4. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — ASTL or CLF?
In this comparison, ASTL (3.
8% yield) pays a dividend. CLF does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
07Is ASTL or CLF better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Algoma Steel Group Inc.
(ASTL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (3. 8% yield). Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) carries a higher beta of 2. 36 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ASTL: -40. 4%, CLF: +227. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between ASTL and CLF?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ASTL is a small-cap income-oriented stock; CLF is a small-cap quality compounder stock. ASTL pays a dividend while CLF does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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