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ASTL vs STLD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Steel
ASTL vs STLD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Steel | Steel |
| Market Cap | $534M | $35.04B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.09B | $19.01B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-985M | $1.37B |
| Gross Margin | -31.4% | 14.0% |
| Operating Margin | -61.4% | 9.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 16.2x |
| Total Debt | $673M | $4.21B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $267M | $770M |
ASTL vs STLD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Algoma Steel Group … (ASTL) | 100 | 52.6 | -47.4% |
| Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) | 100 | 476.5 | +376.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ASTL vs STLD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ASTL is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 2.23, Low D/E 44.6%, current ratio 3.07x
- Beta 2.23, yield 3.8%, current ratio 3.07x
- 3.8% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs STLD's 0.8%
STLD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 1.32, yield 0.8%
- Rev growth 3.6%, EPS growth -18.8%, 3Y rev CAGR -6.5%
- 9.2% 10Y total return vs ASTL's -40.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 3.6% revenue growth vs ASTL's -12.2% | |
| Quality / Margins | 7.2% margin vs ASTL's -47.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.32 vs ASTL's 2.23 | |
| Dividends | 3.8% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs STLD's 0.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +85.9% vs ASTL's -5.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.5% ROA vs ASTL's -37.2%, ROIC 9.2% vs -12.7% |
ASTL vs STLD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ASTL vs STLD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
STLD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
STLD is the larger business by revenue, generating $19.0B annually — 9.1x ASTL's $2.1B. STLD is the more profitable business, keeping 7.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ASTL's -47.2%. On growth, STLD holds the edge at +19.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.1B | $19.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$924M | $2.4B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$985M | $1.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$422M | $665M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -31.4% | +14.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -61.4% | +9.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -47.2% | +7.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -20.3% | +3.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -23.0% | +19.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.7% | +93.1% |
Valuation Metrics
ASTL leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $534M | $35.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $833M | $38.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.37x | 30.27x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 16.24x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.20x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 18.98x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.30x | 1.93x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.50x | 4.02x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 69.87x |
Profitability & Efficiency
STLD leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
STLD delivers a 15.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $15 in annual profit, vs $-95 for ASTL. ASTL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.45x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to STLD's 0.47x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), STLD scores 5/9 vs ASTL's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -95.1% | +15.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -37.2% | +8.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -12.7% | +9.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -11.9% | +10.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.45x | 0.47x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $406M | $3.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $267M | $770M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $673M | $4.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -12.82x | 20.39x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
STLD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in STLD five years ago would be worth $40,561 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,926 for ASTL. Over the past 12 months, STLD leads with a +85.9% total return vs ASTL's -5.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors STLD at 36.2% vs ASTL's -8.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +29.8% | +37.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -5.9% | +85.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -24.0% | +152.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -40.7% | +305.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -40.4% | +918.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -8.7% | +36.2% |
Risk & Volatility
STLD leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
STLD is the less volatile stock with a 1.32 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ASTL's 2.23 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. STLD currently trades 99.2% from its 52-week high vs ASTL's 70.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.23x | 1.32x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $7.25 | $243.72 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.02 | $119.89 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +70.2% | +99.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.1 | 79.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 1.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ASTL and STLD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ASTL as "Buy" and STLD as "Buy". For income investors, ASTL offers the higher dividend yield at 3.82% vs STLD's 0.81%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $188.40 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 27 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.8% | +0.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 15 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.26 | $1.96 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.6% |
STLD leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ASTL leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
ASTL vs STLD: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ASTL or STLD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) is the stronger pick with 3. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 2% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) offers the better valuation at 30. 3x trailing P/E (16. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ASTL or STLD?
Over the past 5 years, Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) delivered a total return of +305. 6%, compared to -40. 7% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: STLD returned +918. 7% versus ASTL's -40. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ASTL or STLD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 32β versus Algoma Steel Group Inc. 's 2. 23β — meaning ASTL is approximately 68% more volatile than STLD relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 45% versus 47% for Steel Dynamics, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ASTL or STLD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) is pulling ahead at 3. 6% versus -12. 2% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Steel Dynamics, Inc. grew EPS -18. 8% year-over-year, compared to -392. 9% for Algoma Steel Group Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, STLD leads at -6. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ASTL or STLD?
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) is the more profitable company, earning 6. 5% net margin versus -9. 1% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. — meaning it keeps 6. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: STLD leads at 8. 1% versus -12. 0% for ASTL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — STLD leads at 13. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — ASTL or STLD?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) offers the highest yield at 3. 8%, versus 0. 8% for Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD).
07Is ASTL or STLD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 8% yield, +918. 7% 10Y return). Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) carries a higher beta of 2. 23 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (STLD: +918. 7%, ASTL: -40. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between ASTL and STLD?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ASTL is a small-cap income-oriented stock; STLD is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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