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ATO vs NJR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Regulated Gas
ATO vs NJR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Regulated Gas | Regulated Gas |
| Market Cap | $30.53B | $5.54B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.88B | $2.21B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.35B | $341M |
| Gross Margin | 32.9% | 27.7% |
| Operating Margin | 35.9% | 24.1% |
| Forward P/E | 22.2x | 16.2x |
| Total Debt | $9.30B | $3.77B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $204M | $10M |
ATO vs NJR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atmos Energy Corpor… (ATO) | 100 | 179.5 | +79.5% |
| New Jersey Resource… (NJR) | 100 | 156.2 | +56.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ATO vs NJR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ATO is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 185.9% 10Y total return vs NJR's 89.9%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.00, Low D/E 68.6%, current ratio 0.67x
- 27.6% margin vs NJR's 15.4%
NJR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta -0.13, yield 3.3%
- Rev growth 13.9%, EPS growth 14.0%, 3Y rev CAGR -11.3%
- PEG 1.14 vs ATO's 2.52
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.9% revenue growth vs ATO's 12.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (16.2x vs 22.2x), PEG 1.14 vs 2.52 | |
| Quality / Margins | 27.6% margin vs NJR's 15.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (68.6% vs 157.5%) | |
| Dividends | 1.9% yield, 28-year raise streak, vs NJR's 3.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +16.4% vs ATO's +16.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.0% ROA vs ATO's 4.5%, ROIC 5.5% vs 5.5% |
ATO vs NJR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ATO vs NJR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ATO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ATO is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.9B annually — 2.2x NJR's $2.2B. ATO is the more profitable business, keeping 27.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NJR's 15.4%. On growth, NJR holds the edge at +7.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.9B | $2.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.5B | $727M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.3B | $341M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$2.0B | -$527M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +32.9% | +27.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +35.9% | +24.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +27.6% | +15.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -40.8% | -23.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.6% | +7.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +14.5% | +6.9% |
Valuation Metrics
NJR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.5x trailing earnings, NJR trades at a 33% valuation discount to ATO's 24.7x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), NJR offers better value at 1.16x vs ATO's 2.81x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $30.5B | $5.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $39.6B | $9.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 24.73x | 16.47x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 22.20x | 16.22x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.81x | 1.16x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 17.27x | 14.88x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 6.49x | 2.72x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.19x | 2.31x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
NJR leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NJR delivers a 18.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $19 in annual profit, vs $8 for ATO. ATO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.69x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NJR's 1.58x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NJR scores 7/9 vs ATO's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.7% | +18.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.5% | +6.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.5% | +5.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.1% | +6.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.69x | 1.58x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $9.1B | $3.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $204M | $10M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $9.3B | $3.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 9.61x | 4.32x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ATO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ATO five years ago would be worth $19,366 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,676 for NJR. Over the past 12 months, NJR leads with a +16.4% total return vs ATO's +16.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ATO at 18.2% vs NJR's 6.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +9.5% | +20.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +16.2% | +16.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +65.2% | +19.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +93.7% | +46.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +185.9% | +89.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +18.2% | +6.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ATO and NJR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NJR is the less volatile stock with a -0.13 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ATO's -0.00 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.00x | -0.13x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $192.51 | $57.85 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $149.98 | $43.46 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +95.8% | +94.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.0 | 53.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 833K | 485K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ATO and NJR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ATO as "Hold" and NJR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 1.6% upside for NJR (target: $56) vs -3.0% for ATO (target: $179). For income investors, NJR offers the higher dividend yield at 3.26% vs ATO's 1.87%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $179.00 | $55.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 16 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.9% | +3.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 28 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.45 | $1.79 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
ATO leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). NJR leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). 2 tied.
ATO vs NJR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ATO or NJR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is the stronger pick with 13.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 12. 9% for Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO). New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) offers the better valuation at 16. 5x trailing P/E (16. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) a "Buy" — based on 16 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ATO or NJR?
On trailing P/E, New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is the cheapest at 16.
5x versus Atmos Energy Corporation at 24. 7x. On forward P/E, New Jersey Resources Corporation is actually cheaper at 16. 2x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: New Jersey Resources Corporation wins at 1. 14x versus Atmos Energy Corporation's 2. 52x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ATO or NJR?
Over the past 5 years, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) delivered a total return of +93.
7%, compared to +46. 8% for New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ATO returned +185. 9% versus NJR's +89. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ATO or NJR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
13β versus Atmos Energy Corporation's -0. 00β — meaning ATO is approximately -97% more volatile than NJR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 69% versus 158% for New Jersey Resources Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ATO or NJR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is pulling ahead at 13.
9% versus 12. 9% for Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: New Jersey Resources Corporation grew EPS 14. 0% year-over-year, compared to 9. 2% for Atmos Energy Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, ATO leads at 3. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ATO or NJR?
Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) is the more profitable company, earning 25.
5% net margin versus 16. 5% for New Jersey Resources Corporation — meaning it keeps 25. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ATO leads at 33. 2% versus 21. 4% for NJR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ATO leads at 52. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ATO or NJR more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 14x versus Atmos Energy Corporation's 2. 52x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) trades at 16. 2x forward P/E versus 22. 2x for Atmos Energy Corporation — 6. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NJR: 1. 6% to $55. 75.
08Which pays a better dividend — ATO or NJR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) offers the highest yield at 3. 3%, versus 1. 9% for Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO).
09Is ATO or NJR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
13), 3. 3% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NJR: +89. 9%, ATO: +185. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ATO and NJR?
Both stocks operate in the Utilities sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ATO is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; NJR is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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