Regulated Gas
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ATO vs NJR vs SR vs NWN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Regulated Gas
Regulated Gas
Regulated Gas
ATO vs NJR vs SR vs NWN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Regulated Gas | Regulated Gas | Regulated Gas | Regulated Gas |
| Market Cap | $30.09B | $5.60B | $5.05B | $2.11B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.88B | $2.21B | $2.47B | $1.29B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.35B | $341M | $358M | $123M |
| Gross Margin | 32.9% | 27.7% | 73.3% | 22.4% |
| Operating Margin | 35.9% | 24.1% | 22.1% | 26.9% |
| Forward P/E | 21.9x | 16.4x | 16.5x | 16.4x |
| Total Debt | $9.30B | $3.77B | $5.24B | $2.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $204M | $10M | $6M | $41M |
ATO vs NJR vs SR vs NWN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atmos Energy Corpor… (ATO) | 100 | 176.9 | +76.9% |
| New Jersey Resource… (NJR) | 100 | 158.1 | +58.1% |
| Spire Inc. (SR) | 100 | 117.3 | +17.3% |
| Northwest Natural H… (NWN) | 100 | 78.1 | -21.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ATO vs NJR vs SR vs NWN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ATO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 179.6% 10Y total return vs NJR's 90.4%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.00, Low D/E 68.6%, current ratio 0.67x
- 27.6% margin vs NWN's 9.6%
- Lower D/E ratio (68.6% vs 187.0%)
NJR is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure is your priority.
- Rev growth 13.9%, EPS growth 14.0%, 3Y rev CAGR -11.3%
- 13.9% revenue growth vs SR's -4.5%
- Lower P/E (16.4x vs 16.4x), PEG 1.15 vs 4.55
- 6.0% ROA vs NWN's 2.0%, ROIC 5.5% vs 8.1%
SR is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.66 vs NWN's 4.55
NWN is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 7 yrs, beta -0.05, yield 3.8%
- Beta -0.05, yield 3.8%, current ratio 0.72x
- +18.4% vs ATO's +14.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.9% revenue growth vs SR's -4.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (16.4x vs 16.4x), PEG 1.15 vs 4.55 | |
| Quality / Margins | 27.6% margin vs NWN's 9.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (68.6% vs 187.0%) | |
| Dividends | 1.9% yield, 28-year raise streak, vs NWN's 3.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +18.4% vs ATO's +14.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.0% ROA vs NWN's 2.0%, ROIC 5.5% vs 8.1% |
ATO vs NJR vs SR vs NWN — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ATO vs NJR vs SR vs NWN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
NWN leads in 2 of 6 categories
ATO leads 1 • NJR leads 1 • SR leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — ATO and NJR and SR each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ATO is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.9B annually — 3.8x NWN's $1.3B. ATO is the more profitable business, keeping 27.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NWN's 9.6%. On growth, NJR holds the edge at +7.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.9B | $2.2B | $2.5B | $1.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.5B | $727M | $864M | $496M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.3B | $341M | $358M | $123M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$2.0B | -$527M | -$2.7B | -$333M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +32.9% | +27.7% | +73.3% | +22.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +35.9% | +24.1% | +22.1% | +26.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +27.6% | +15.4% | +14.5% | +9.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -40.8% | -23.9% | -108.1% | -25.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.6% | +7.1% | -9.0% | -0.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +14.5% | +6.9% | +31.1% | -100.0% |
Valuation Metrics
NWN leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.7x trailing earnings, NJR trades at a 32% valuation discount to ATO's 24.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), SR offers better value at 0.79x vs NWN's 5.01x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $30.1B | $5.6B | $5.1B | $2.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $39.2B | $9.4B | $10.3B | $4.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 24.38x | 16.67x | 19.57x | 18.07x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 21.88x | 16.42x | 16.47x | 16.43x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.77x | 1.17x | 0.79x | 5.01x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 17.08x | 14.99x | 12.51x | 7.92x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 6.40x | 2.76x | 2.04x | 1.63x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.15x | 2.34x | 1.48x | 1.39x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
NWN leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NJR delivers a 18.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $19 in annual profit, vs $8 for ATO. ATO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.69x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NWN's 1.87x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NJR scores 7/9 vs NWN's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.7% | +18.7% | +10.4% | +8.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.5% | +6.0% | +2.9% | +2.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.5% | +5.5% | +4.7% | +8.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.1% | +6.8% | +5.8% | +8.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.69x | 1.58x | 1.54x | 1.87x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $9.1B | $3.8B | $5.2B | $2.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $204M | $10M | $6M | $41M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $9.3B | $3.8B | $5.2B | $2.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 9.61x | 4.32x | 2.62x | 2.39x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ATO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ATO five years ago would be worth $19,174 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,855 for NWN. Over the past 12 months, NWN leads with a +18.4% total return vs ATO's +14.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ATO at 17.7% vs NWN's 6.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +8.0% | +21.8% | +3.8% | +9.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +14.1% | +17.6% | +16.6% | +18.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +62.9% | +21.1% | +38.7% | +19.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +91.7% | +46.6% | +32.1% | +8.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +179.6% | +90.4% | +71.4% | +22.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +17.7% | +6.6% | +11.5% | +6.2% |
Risk & Volatility
NJR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NJR is the less volatile stock with a -0.13 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SR's 0.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NJR currently trades 96.0% from its 52-week high vs NWN's 89.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.00x | -0.13x | 0.06x | -0.05x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $192.51 | $57.85 | $95.31 | $55.99 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $149.98 | $43.46 | $69.94 | $39.10 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +94.5% | +96.0% | +89.7% | +89.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.0 | 44.3 | 34.0 | 23.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 854K | 485K | 346K | 258K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ATO and NWN each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: ATO as "Hold", NJR as "Buy", SR as "Buy", NWN as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 13.9% upside for NWN (target: $57) vs -1.6% for ATO (target: $179). For income investors, NWN offers the higher dividend yield at 3.77% vs ATO's 1.90%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $179.00 | $55.75 | $97.00 | $57.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 16 | 15 | 8 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.9% | +3.2% | +3.6% | +3.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 28 | 4 | 12 | 7 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.45 | $1.79 | $3.10 | $1.89 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
NWN leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). ATO leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
ATO vs NJR vs SR vs NWN: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ATO or NJR or SR or NWN a better buy right now?
For growth investors, New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is the stronger pick with 13.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -4. 5% for Spire Inc. (SR). New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) offers the better valuation at 16. 7x trailing P/E (16. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) a "Buy" — based on 16 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ATO or NJR or SR or NWN?
On trailing P/E, New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is the cheapest at 16.
7x versus Atmos Energy Corporation at 24. 4x. On forward P/E, New Jersey Resources Corporation is actually cheaper at 16. 4x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Spire Inc. wins at 0. 66x versus Northwest Natural Holding Company's 4. 55x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ATO or NJR or SR or NWN?
Over the past 5 years, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) delivered a total return of +91.
7%, compared to +8. 5% for Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ATO returned +179. 6% versus NWN's +22. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ATO or NJR or SR or NWN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
13β versus Spire Inc. 's 0. 06β — meaning SR is approximately -149% more volatile than NJR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 69% versus 187% for Northwest Natural Holding Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ATO or NJR or SR or NWN?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is pulling ahead at 13.
9% versus -4. 5% for Spire Inc. (SR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Northwest Natural Holding Company grew EPS 36. 5% year-over-year, compared to 4. 3% for Spire Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NWN leads at 7. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ATO or NJR or SR or NWN?
Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) is the more profitable company, earning 25.
5% net margin versus 8. 8% for Northwest Natural Holding Company — meaning it keeps 25. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ATO leads at 33. 2% versus 21. 2% for SR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SR leads at 78. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ATO or NJR or SR or NWN more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Spire Inc. (SR) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 66x versus Northwest Natural Holding Company's 4. 55x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) trades at 16. 4x forward P/E versus 21. 9x for Atmos Energy Corporation — 5. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NWN: 13. 9% to $57. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — ATO or NJR or SR or NWN?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) offers the highest yield at 3. 8%, versus 1. 9% for Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO).
09Is ATO or NJR or SR or NWN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
13), 3. 2% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NJR: +90. 4%, SR: +71. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ATO and NJR and SR and NWN?
Both stocks operate in the Utilities sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ATO is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; NJR is a small-cap deep-value stock; SR is a small-cap income-oriented stock; NWN is a small-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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