Discount Stores
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BJ vs COST
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Discount Stores
BJ vs COST — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Discount Stores | Discount Stores |
| Market Cap | $13.85B | $441.35B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $21.46B | $286.26B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $578M | $8.55B |
| Gross Margin | 18.6% | 12.9% |
| Operating Margin | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| Forward P/E | 20.4x | 48.7x |
| Total Debt | $2.61B | $8.17B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $46M | $14.16B |
BJ vs COST — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| BJ's Wholesale Club… (BJ) | 100 | 256.8 | +156.8% |
| Costco Wholesale Co… (COST) | 100 | 322.8 | +222.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BJ vs COST
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BJ is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and valuation efficiency.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta -0.37
- PEG 2.67 vs COST's 3.23
- Lower P/E (20.4x vs 48.7x), PEG 2.67 vs 3.23
COST carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 8.2%, EPS growth 10.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.6%
- 6.2% 10Y total return vs BJ's 320.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.13, Low D/E 28.0%, current ratio 1.03x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.2% revenue growth vs BJ's 4.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (20.4x vs 48.7x), PEG 2.67 vs 3.23 | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.0% margin vs BJ's 2.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (28.0% vs 118.7%) | |
| Dividends | 0.5% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -0.9% vs BJ's -22.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.7% ROA vs BJ's 7.9%, ROIC 34.5% vs 13.5% |
BJ vs COST — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
BJ vs COST — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — BJ and COST each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
COST is the larger business by revenue, generating $286.3B annually — 13.3x BJ's $21.5B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 3.0% (COST) to 2.7% (BJ). On growth, COST holds the edge at +9.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $21.5B | $286.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.1B | $13.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $578M | $8.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $337M | $9.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +18.6% | +12.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.9% | +3.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +2.7% | +3.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.6% | +3.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +5.6% | +9.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.3% | -2.1% |
Valuation Metrics
BJ leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 21.1x trailing earnings, BJ trades at a 61% valuation discount to COST's 54.7x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), BJ offers better value at 2.76x vs COST's 3.62x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $13.9B | $441.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $16.4B | $435.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.11x | 54.68x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 20.45x | 48.71x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.76x | 3.62x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.47x | 33.99x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.65x | 1.60x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 5.56x | 15.19x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 41.85x | 56.32x |
Profitability & Efficiency
COST leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
COST delivers a 28.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $29 in annual profit, vs $26 for BJ. COST carries lower financial leverage with a 0.28x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BJ's 1.19x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BJ scores 8/9 vs COST's 7/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +26.5% | +28.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.9% | +10.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +13.5% | +34.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +18.1% | +27.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.19x | 0.28x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.6B | -$6.0B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $46M | $14.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.6B | $8.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 19.58x | 77.52x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
COST leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in COST five years ago would be worth $26,965 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $19,801 for BJ. Over the past 12 months, COST leads with a -0.9% total return vs BJ's -22.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors COST at 27.1% vs BJ's 7.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +0.6% | +16.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -22.8% | -0.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +23.4% | +105.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +98.0% | +169.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +320.2% | +624.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +7.3% | +27.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — BJ and COST each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BJ is the less volatile stock with a -0.37 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than COST's 0.13 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. COST currently trades 93.3% from its 52-week high vs BJ's 76.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.37x | 0.13x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $120.33 | $1067.08 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $86.68 | $846.80 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +76.8% | +93.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 49.6 | 57.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.8M | 1.6M |
Analyst Outlook
BJ leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BJ as "Hold" and COST as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 13.2% upside for BJ (target: $105) vs 7.5% for COST (target: $1070). COST is the only dividend payer here at 0.49% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $104.67 | $1070.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 27 | 58 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $4.91 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.1% | +0.2% |
BJ leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). COST leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 2 tied.
BJ vs COST: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BJ or COST a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is the stronger pick with 8.
2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 7% for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ). BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) offers the better valuation at 21. 1x trailing P/E (20. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) a "Buy" — based on 58 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — BJ or COST?
On trailing P/E, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
(BJ) is the cheapest at 21. 1x versus Costco Wholesale Corporation at 54. 7x. On forward P/E, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. is actually cheaper at 20. 4x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. wins at 2. 67x versus Costco Wholesale Corporation's 3. 23x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — BJ or COST?
Over the past 5 years, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) delivered a total return of +169.
6%, compared to +98. 0% for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: COST returned +624. 5% versus BJ's +320. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — BJ or COST?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
(BJ) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 37β versus Costco Wholesale Corporation's 0. 13β — meaning COST is approximately -135% more volatile than BJ relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 28% versus 119% for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — BJ or COST?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is pulling ahead at 8.
2% versus 4. 7% for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Costco Wholesale Corporation grew EPS 10. 0% year-over-year, compared to 9. 5% for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, COST leads at 6. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — BJ or COST?
Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is the more profitable company, earning 2.
9% net margin versus 2. 7% for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 2. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BJ leads at 3. 9% versus 3. 8% for COST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BJ leads at 18. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is BJ or COST more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 2. 67x versus Costco Wholesale Corporation's 3. 23x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) trades at 20. 4x forward P/E versus 48. 7x for Costco Wholesale Corporation — 28. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BJ: 13. 2% to $104. 67.
08Which pays a better dividend — BJ or COST?
In this comparison, COST (0.
5% yield) pays a dividend. BJ does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is BJ or COST better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
(BJ) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 37), +320. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (BJ: +320. 2%, COST: +624. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between BJ and COST?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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