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BJ vs TGT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Discount Stores
BJ vs TGT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Discount Stores | Discount Stores |
| Market Cap | $13.85B | $59.32B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $21.46B | $106.25B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $578M | $4.04B |
| Gross Margin | 18.6% | 27.3% |
| Operating Margin | 3.9% | 5.3% |
| Forward P/E | 20.4x | 16.3x |
| Total Debt | $2.61B | $5.59B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $46M | $5.49B |
BJ vs TGT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| BJ's Wholesale Club… (BJ) | 100 | 256.8 | +156.8% |
| Target Corporation (TGT) | 100 | 106.4 | +6.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BJ vs TGT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BJ is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 4.7%, EPS growth 9.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.6%
- 320.2% 10Y total return vs TGT's 108.0%
- 4.7% revenue growth vs TGT's -1.7%
TGT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 22 yrs, beta 0.95, yield 3.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.95, Low D/E 34.6%, current ratio 0.94x
- Beta 0.95, yield 3.5%, current ratio 0.94x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.7% revenue growth vs TGT's -1.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (16.3x vs 20.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.8% margin vs BJ's 2.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (34.6% vs 118.7%) | |
| Dividends | 3.5% yield; 22-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +43.9% vs BJ's -22.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.9% ROA vs TGT's 6.9%, ROIC 13.5% vs 16.7% |
BJ vs TGT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
BJ vs TGT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TGT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TGT is the larger business by revenue, generating $106.2B annually — 5.0x BJ's $21.5B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 3.8% (TGT) to 2.7% (BJ).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $21.5B | $106.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.1B | $8.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $578M | $4.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $337M | $2.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +18.6% | +27.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.9% | +5.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +2.7% | +3.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.6% | +2.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +5.6% | +3.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.3% | +23.7% |
Valuation Metrics
TGT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.0x trailing earnings, TGT trades at a 24% valuation discount to BJ's 21.1x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, TGT's 7.5x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than BJ's 14.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $13.9B | $59.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $16.4B | $59.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.11x | 16.02x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 20.45x | 16.28x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.76x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.47x | 7.51x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.65x | 0.57x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 5.56x | 3.67x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 41.85x | 20.93x |
Profitability & Efficiency
BJ leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BJ delivers a 26.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $26 in annual profit, vs $26 for TGT. TGT carries lower financial leverage with a 0.35x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BJ's 1.19x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BJ scores 8/9 vs TGT's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +26.5% | +26.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.9% | +6.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +13.5% | +16.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +18.1% | +13.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.19x | 0.35x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.6B | $104M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $46M | $5.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.6B | $5.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 19.58x | 12.40x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
BJ leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BJ five years ago would be worth $19,801 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,095 for TGT. Over the past 12 months, TGT leads with a +43.9% total return vs BJ's -22.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BJ at 7.3% vs TGT's -2.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +0.6% | +30.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -22.8% | +43.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +23.4% | -8.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +98.0% | -29.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +320.2% | +108.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +7.3% | -2.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — BJ and TGT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BJ is the less volatile stock with a -0.37 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TGT's 0.95 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TGT currently trades 97.9% from its 52-week high vs BJ's 76.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.37x | 0.95x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $120.33 | $133.07 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $86.68 | $83.44 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +76.8% | +97.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 49.6 | 58.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.8M | 4.5M |
Analyst Outlook
TGT leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BJ as "Hold" and TGT as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 13.2% upside for BJ (target: $105) vs -11.4% for TGT (target: $115). TGT is the only dividend payer here at 3.46% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $104.67 | $115.31 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 27 | 59 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +3.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 22 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $4.51 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.1% | +0.7% |
TGT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). BJ leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
BJ vs TGT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BJ or TGT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
(BJ) is the stronger pick with 4. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 7% for Target Corporation (TGT). Target Corporation (TGT) offers the better valuation at 16. 0x trailing P/E (16. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) a "Hold" — based on 27 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — BJ or TGT?
On trailing P/E, Target Corporation (TGT) is the cheapest at 16.
0x versus BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. at 21. 1x. On forward P/E, Target Corporation is actually cheaper at 16. 3x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — BJ or TGT?
Over the past 5 years, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
(BJ) delivered a total return of +98. 0%, compared to -29. 1% for Target Corporation (TGT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BJ returned +320. 2% versus TGT's +108. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — BJ or TGT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
(BJ) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 37β versus Target Corporation's 0. 95β — meaning TGT is approximately -359% more volatile than BJ relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Target Corporation (TGT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 35% versus 119% for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — BJ or TGT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
(BJ) is pulling ahead at 4. 7% versus -1. 7% for Target Corporation (TGT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 9. 5% year-over-year, compared to -8. 2% for Target Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, BJ leads at 3. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — BJ or TGT?
Target Corporation (TGT) is the more profitable company, earning 3.
5% net margin versus 2. 7% for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TGT leads at 4. 9% versus 3. 9% for BJ. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TGT leads at 27. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is BJ or TGT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Target Corporation (TGT) trades at 16.
3x forward P/E versus 20. 4x for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. — 4. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BJ: 13. 2% to $104. 67.
08Which pays a better dividend — BJ or TGT?
In this comparison, TGT (3.
5% yield) pays a dividend. BJ does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is BJ or TGT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
(BJ) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 37), +320. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (BJ: +320. 2%, TGT: +108. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between BJ and TGT?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: BJ is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; TGT is a mid-cap deep-value stock. TGT pays a dividend while BJ does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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