GFR
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Market Cap$410M
5Y Perf.+14.3%
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Stock Comparison
GFR vs SU
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
SU
Suncor Energy Inc.
Oil & Gas Integrated
Market Cap$75.67B
5Y Perf.+85.4%
GFR vs SU — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | GFR | SU |
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Oil & Gas Integrated |
| Market Cap | $410M | $75.67B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $563M | $52.01B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-101M | $6.33B |
| Gross Margin | 22.7% | 55.5% |
| Operating Margin | 10.7% | 27.4% |
| Forward P/E | 16.6x | 7.7x |
| Total Debt | $6M | $18.37B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $42M | $3.65B |
GFR vs SU — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
GFR
SU
| Stock | Sep 23 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenfire Resources… (GFR) | 100 | 114.3 | +14.3% |
| Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) | 100 | 185.4 | +85.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GFR vs SU
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
Bottom line: SU leads in 6 of 7 categories, making it the strongest pick for growth and revenue expansion and valuation and capital efficiency. Greenfire Resources Ltd. is the stronger pick specifically for capital preservation and lower volatility. As sector peers, any of these can serve as alternatives in the same allocation.
GFR
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
The Defensive Pick
GFR is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.05, Low D/E 0.5%, current ratio 1.56x
- Beta 0.05, current ratio 1.56x
- Lower D/E ratio (0.5% vs 40.7%)
Best for: sleep-well-at-night and defensive
SU
Suncor Energy Inc.
The Income Pick
SU carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta -0.03, yield 2.6%
- Rev growth -3.5%, EPS growth 2.8%, 3Y rev CAGR -5.7%
- 197.4% 10Y total return vs GFR's -47.5%
Best for: income & stability and growth exposure
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | SU | -3.5% revenue growth vs GFR's -27.4% |
| Value | SU | Lower P/E (7.7x vs 16.6x) |
| Quality / Margins | SU | 12.2% margin vs GFR's -17.9% |
| Stability / Safety | GFR | Lower D/E ratio (0.5% vs 40.7%) |
| Dividends | SU | 2.6% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | SU | +92.7% vs GFR's +43.7% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | SU | 7.0% ROA vs GFR's -7.8%, ROIC 20.1% vs 3.9% |
GFR vs SU — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
BEST OVERALLSULAGGINGGFR
GFRGreenfire Resources L…
0leads
SUSuncor Energy Inc.
5leads
6 Total Categories
CATEGORYLEADERvs GFRMETRICS WON
Income & Cash FlowRevenue, margins, and cash flow strength
SU6/6
Valuation MetricsMultiples, price ratios, and targets
Tied
—
Profitability & EfficiencyROE, ROIC, leverage, and quality scores
SU6/9
Total Returns1Y, 3Y, 5Y total returns with dividends
SU6/6
Risk & VolatilityBeta, volatility, and downside exposure
SU2/2
Analyst OutlookRatings, price targets, and dividends
SU1/1
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SU leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SU is the larger business by revenue, generating $52.0B annually — 92.3x GFR's $563M. SU is the more profitable business, keeping 12.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GFR's -17.9%. On growth, SU holds the edge at +25.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | GFRGreenfire Resourc… | SUSuncor Energy Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $563M | $52.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $144M | $21.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$101M | $6.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$26M | $7.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +22.7% | +55.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.7% | +27.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -17.9% | +12.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -4.6% | +13.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -20.8% | +25.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.6% | +30.1% |
SU leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — GFR and SU each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 12.1x trailing earnings, GFR trades at a 33% valuation discount to SU's 17.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, SU's 5.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than GFR's 9.0x.
| Metric | GFRGreenfire Resourc… | SUSuncor Energy Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $410M | $75.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $383M | $86.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 12.07x | 17.93x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.65x | 7.73x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.99x | 5.13x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.97x | 2.11x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.48x | 2.35x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 23.05x | 14.92x |
Evenly matched — GFR and SU each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SU leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SU delivers a 14.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $-10 for GFR. GFR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SU's 0.41x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SU scores 6/9 vs GFR's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | GFRGreenfire Resourc… | SUSuncor Energy Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -10.0% | +14.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -7.8% | +7.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.9% | +20.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.5% | +19.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.01x | 0.41x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$36M | $14.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $42M | $3.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6M | $18.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.48x | 11.68x |
SU leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SU leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SU five years ago would be worth $30,099 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,246 for GFR. Over the past 12 months, SU leads with a +92.7% total return vs GFR's +43.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SU at 31.8% vs GFR's -19.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | GFRGreenfire Resourc… | SUSuncor Energy Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +17.7% | +40.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +43.7% | +92.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.5% | +128.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.5% | +201.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.5% | +197.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -19.4% | +31.8% |
SU leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SU leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SU is the less volatile stock with a -0.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GFR's 0.05 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SU currently trades 90.7% from its 52-week high vs GFR's 80.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | GFRGreenfire Resourc… | SUSuncor Energy Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.05x | -0.03x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $7.06 | $70.29 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.81 | $33.50 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +80.2% | +90.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.6 | 48.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 239K | 4.6M |
SU leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
SU leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GFR as "Buy" and SU as "Buy". SU is the only dividend payer here at 2.64% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | GFRGreenfire Resourc… | SUSuncor Energy Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $62.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 31 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.30 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +3.0% |
SU leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Key Takeaway
SU leads in 5 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Profitability & Efficiency. 1 category is tied.
Best OverallSuncor Energy Inc. (SU)Leads 5 of 6 categories
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GFR vs SU: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GFR or SU a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Suncor Energy Inc.
(SU) is the stronger pick with -3. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -27. 4% for Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR). Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) offers the better valuation at 12. 1x trailing P/E (16. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GFR or SU?
On trailing P/E, Greenfire Resources Ltd.
(GFR) is the cheapest at 12. 1x versus Suncor Energy Inc. at 17. 9x. On forward P/E, Suncor Energy Inc. is actually cheaper at 7. 7x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GFR or SU?
Over the past 5 years, Suncor Energy Inc.
(SU) delivered a total return of +201. 0%, compared to -47. 5% for Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SU returned +197. 4% versus GFR's -47. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GFR or SU?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Suncor Energy Inc.
(SU) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 03β versus Greenfire Resources Ltd. 's 0. 05β — meaning GFR is approximately -264% more volatile than SU relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 41% for Suncor Energy Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GFR or SU?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Suncor Energy Inc.
(SU) is pulling ahead at -3. 5% versus -27. 4% for Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Suncor Energy Inc. grew EPS 2. 8% year-over-year, compared to -62. 4% for Greenfire Resources Ltd.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SU leads at -5. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GFR or SU?
Suncor Energy Inc.
(SU) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 1% net margin versus 8. 1% for Greenfire Resources Ltd. — meaning it keeps 12. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SU leads at 31. 7% versus 10. 1% for GFR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SU leads at 59. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GFR or SU more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Suncor Energy Inc.
(SU) trades at 7. 7x forward P/E versus 16. 6x for Greenfire Resources Ltd. — 8. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — GFR or SU?
In this comparison, SU (2.
6% yield) pays a dividend. GFR does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GFR or SU better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Suncor Energy Inc.
(SU) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 03), 2. 6% yield, +197. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (SU: +197. 4%, GFR: -47. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GFR and SU?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
SU pays a dividend while GFR does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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Revenue Growth>
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(GFR: -20.8% · SU: 25.1%)P/E Ratio<
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