Insurance - Property & Casualty
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LMND vs GO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Grocery Stores
LMND vs GO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Grocery Stores |
| Market Cap | $4.07B | $781M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $821M | $4.69B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-139M | $-225M |
| Gross Margin | 47.6% | 30.3% |
| Operating Margin | -16.3% | -4.7% |
| Forward P/E | — | 16.1x |
| Total Debt | $182M | $1.81B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $385M | $70M |
LMND vs GO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) | 100 | 93.6 | -6.4% |
| Grocery Outlet Hold… (GO) | 100 | 18.3 | -81.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LMND vs GO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LMND is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 40.2%, EPS growth 19.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 42.2%
- -23.6% 10Y total return vs GO's -72.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.75, Low D/E 34.1%, current ratio 1.52x
GO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.62
- Beta 0.62, current ratio 1.37x
- -4.8% margin vs LMND's -16.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 40.2% revenue growth vs GO's 7.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | -4.8% margin vs LMND's -16.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.62 vs LMND's 2.75 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +74.9% vs GO's -51.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -6.9% ROA vs LMND's -7.4%, ROIC -6.0% vs -36.8% |
LMND vs GO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
LMND vs GO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LMND leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GO is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.7B annually — 5.7x LMND's $821M. GO is the more profitable business, keeping -4.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to LMND's -16.9%. On growth, LMND holds the edge at +55.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $821M | $4.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$121M | -$91M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$139M | -$225M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $20M | -$9M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +47.6% | +30.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -16.3% | -4.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -16.9% | -4.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.4% | -0.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +55.0% | +10.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +45.3% | -112.5% |
Valuation Metrics
GO leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.1B | $781M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.9B | $2.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -23.04x | -3.46x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 16.12x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 5.52x | 0.17x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 7.13x | 0.79x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 32.83x |
Profitability & Efficiency
GO leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GO delivers a -19.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-20 in annual profit, vs $-27 for LMND. LMND carries lower financial leverage with a 0.34x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GO's 1.84x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GO scores 5/9 vs LMND's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -26.5% | -19.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -7.4% | -6.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -36.8% | -6.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -22.7% | -8.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.34x | 1.84x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$203M | $1.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $385M | $70M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $182M | $1.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | -6.45x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LMND leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LMND five years ago would be worth $6,962 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,894 for GO. Over the past 12 months, LMND leads with a +74.9% total return vs GO's -51.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LMND at 48.3% vs GO's -35.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -30.2% | -21.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +74.9% | -51.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +226.0% | -73.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -30.4% | -81.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -23.6% | -72.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +48.3% | -35.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — LMND and GO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GO is the less volatile stock with a 0.62 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LMND's 2.75 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LMND currently trades 53.1% from its 52-week high vs GO's 41.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.75x | 0.62x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $99.90 | $19.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $28.71 | $5.66 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +53.1% | +41.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 41.9 | 53.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.9M | 4.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates LMND as "Buy" and GO as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 51.8% upside for GO (target: $12) vs 37.1% for LMND (target: $73).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $72.67 | $12.08 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 15 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
LMND leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). GO leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). 1 tied.
LMND vs GO: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LMND or GO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Lemonade, Inc.
(LMND) is the stronger pick with 40. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 3% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO). Analysts rate Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) a "Buy" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — LMND or GO?
Over the past 5 years, Lemonade, Inc.
(LMND) delivered a total return of -30. 4%, compared to -81. 1% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LMND returned -21. 6% versus GO's -71. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — LMND or GO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
(GO) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 62β versus Lemonade, Inc. 's 2. 75β — meaning LMND is approximately 342% more volatile than GO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 34% versus 184% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — LMND or GO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Lemonade, Inc.
(LMND) is pulling ahead at 40. 2% versus 7. 3% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Lemonade, Inc. grew EPS 19. 3% year-over-year, compared to -675. 0% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, LMND leads at 42. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — LMND or GO?
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
(GO) is the more profitable company, earning -4. 8% net margin versus -22. 4% for Lemonade, Inc. — meaning it keeps -4. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GO leads at -4. 7% versus -21. 8% for LMND. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — LMND leads at 40. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is LMND or GO more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GO: 51.
8% to $12. 08.
07Which pays a better dividend — LMND or GO?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is LMND or GO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
(GO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 62)). Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) carries a higher beta of 2. 75 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (GO: -71. 8%, LMND: -21. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between LMND and GO?
These companies operate in different sectors (LMND (Financial Services) and GO (Consumer Defensive)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: LMND is a small-cap high-growth stock; GO is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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