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MAIN vs ARCC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Asset Management
MAIN vs ARCC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Asset Management | Asset Management |
| Market Cap | $5.13B | $13.76B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $725M | $3.15B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $537M | $1.15B |
| Gross Margin | 83.0% | 75.7% |
| Operating Margin | 74.3% | 69.7% |
| Forward P/E | 14.2x | 10.0x |
| Total Debt | $2.12B | $15.99B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $78M | $924M |
MAIN vs ARCC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Street Capital… (MAIN) | 100 | 183.8 | +83.8% |
| Ares Capital Corpor… (ARCC) | 100 | 129.9 | +29.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MAIN vs ARCC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MAIN is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 0.87, yield 6.3%
- 182.8% 10Y total return vs ARCC's 139.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.87, Low D/E 75.9%, current ratio 3.88x
ARCC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 32.9%, EPS growth -23.8%
- 32.9% NII/revenue growth vs MAIN's 18.3%
- Lower P/E (10.0x vs 14.2x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 32.9% NII/revenue growth vs MAIN's 18.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.0x vs 14.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.1% vs MAIN's 0.1% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.77 vs MAIN's 0.87 | |
| Dividends | 6.3% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs ARCC's 2.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +16.3% vs ARCC's +1.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.1% vs MAIN's 0.1% |
MAIN vs ARCC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MAIN leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARCC is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.1B annually — 4.3x MAIN's $725M. MAIN is the more profitable business, keeping 70.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ARCC's 41.3%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $725M | $3.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $555M | $2.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $537M | $1.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $396M | $1.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +83.0% | +75.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +74.3% | +69.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +70.1% | +41.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -12.0% | +36.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.8% | -63.9% |
Valuation Metrics
ARCC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.8x trailing earnings, MAIN trades at a 5% valuation discount to ARCC's 10.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MAIN offers better value at 0.42x vs ARCC's 1.00x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.1B | $13.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7.2B | $28.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 9.80x | 10.30x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.18x | 10.02x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.42x | 1.00x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.32x | 13.16x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 7.08x | 4.37x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.81x | 0.94x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 12.05x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MAIN leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MAIN delivers a 18.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $18 in annual profit, vs $8 for ARCC. MAIN carries lower financial leverage with a 0.76x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ARCC's 1.12x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ARCC scores 4/9 vs MAIN's 3/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.3% | +8.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.2% | +3.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.8% | +5.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.4% | +7.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.76x | 1.12x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.0B | $15.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $78M | $924M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.1B | $16.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.26x | 2.98x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MAIN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MAIN five years ago would be worth $18,086 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,948 for ARCC. Over the past 12 months, MAIN leads with a +16.3% total return vs ARCC's +1.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MAIN at 19.0% vs ARCC's 10.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -5.0% | -3.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +16.3% | +1.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +68.6% | +35.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +80.9% | +49.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +182.8% | +139.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +19.0% | +10.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MAIN and ARCC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ARCC is the less volatile stock with a 0.77 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MAIN's 0.87 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.87x | 0.77x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $67.77 | $23.42 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $50.77 | $17.40 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.6% | +81.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.5 | 60.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 806K | 7.5M |
Analyst Outlook
MAIN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MAIN as "Hold" and ARCC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 16.9% upside for MAIN (target: $67) vs 14.2% for ARCC (target: $22). For income investors, MAIN offers the higher dividend yield at 6.31% vs ARCC's 2.00%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $67.00 | $21.88 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 14 | 32 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +6.3% | +2.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.62 | $0.38 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | 0.0% |
MAIN leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ARCC leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
MAIN vs ARCC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MAIN or ARCC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) is the stronger pick with 32.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 18. 3% for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN). Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) offers the better valuation at 9. 8x trailing P/E (14. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) a "Buy" — based on 32 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MAIN or ARCC?
On trailing P/E, Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) is the cheapest at 9.
8x versus Ares Capital Corporation at 10. 3x. On forward P/E, Ares Capital Corporation is actually cheaper at 10. 0x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Main Street Capital Corporation wins at 0. 61x versus Ares Capital Corporation's 0. 97x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MAIN or ARCC?
Over the past 5 years, Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) delivered a total return of +80.
9%, compared to +49. 5% for Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MAIN returned +182. 8% versus ARCC's +139. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MAIN or ARCC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
77β versus Main Street Capital Corporation's 0. 87β — meaning MAIN is approximately 12% more volatile than ARCC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 76% versus 112% for Ares Capital Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MAIN or ARCC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) is pulling ahead at 32.
9% versus 18. 3% for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Main Street Capital Corporation grew EPS 11. 9% year-over-year, compared to -23. 8% for Ares Capital Corporation. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MAIN or ARCC?
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) is the more profitable company, earning 70.
1% net margin versus 41. 3% for Ares Capital Corporation — meaning it keeps 70. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MAIN leads at 74. 3% versus 69. 7% for ARCC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MAIN leads at 83. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MAIN or ARCC more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 61x versus Ares Capital Corporation's 0. 97x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) trades at 10. 0x forward P/E versus 14. 2x for Main Street Capital Corporation — 4. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MAIN: 16. 9% to $67. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — MAIN or ARCC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) offers the highest yield at 6. 3%, versus 2. 0% for Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC).
09Is MAIN or ARCC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
77), 2. 0% yield, +139. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ARCC: +139. 7%, MAIN: +182. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MAIN and ARCC?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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