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NATH vs RRGB
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
NATH vs RRGB — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $950M | $81M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $158M | $1.21B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $21M | $-23M |
| Gross Margin | 29.4% | 26.8% |
| Operating Margin | 20.1% | 0.2% |
| Forward P/E | 17.2x | — |
| Total Debt | $56M | $514M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $28M | $20M |
NATH vs RRGB — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan's Famous, In… (NATH) | 100 | 180.7 | +80.7% |
| Red Robin Gourmet B… (RRGB) | 100 | 26.6 | -73.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NATH vs RRGB
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NATH carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.52, yield 2.0%
- Rev growth 6.9%, EPS growth 22.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 8.9%
- 166.2% 10Y total return vs RRGB's -94.2%
RRGB is the clearest fit if your priority is value and momentum.
- Better valuation composite
- +40.3% vs NATH's +7.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.9% revenue growth vs RRGB's -3.1% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.6% margin vs RRGB's -1.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.52 vs RRGB's 2.10 | |
| Dividends | 2.0% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +40.3% vs NATH's +7.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 42.1% ROA vs RRGB's -4.1%, ROIC 227.7% vs 0.5% |
NATH vs RRGB — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NATH vs RRGB — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NATH leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
RRGB is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.2B annually — 7.7x NATH's $158M. NATH is the more profitable business, keeping 13.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to RRGB's -1.9%. On growth, NATH holds the edge at +8.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $158M | $1.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $33M | $54M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $21M | -$23M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $22M | $6M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +29.4% | +26.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +20.1% | +0.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +13.6% | -1.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +14.0% | +0.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.9% | -5.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -31.8% | +77.4% |
Valuation Metrics
RRGB leads this category, winning 4 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, RRGB's 10.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than NATH's 26.1x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $950M | $81M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $978M | $575M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 17.25x | -2.82x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.33x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 26.12x | 10.67x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 6.41x | 0.07x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 37.98x | 13.07x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NATH leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NATH scores 6/9 vs RRGB's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +42.1% | -4.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +2.3% | +0.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +104.3% | +0.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $28M | $494M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $28M | $20M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $56M | $514M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 11.11x | 0.26x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NATH leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NATH five years ago would be worth $17,161 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,050 for RRGB. Over the past 12 months, RRGB leads with a +40.3% total return vs NATH's +7.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NATH at 14.5% vs RRGB's -33.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +10.6% | -10.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +7.1% | +40.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +50.2% | -70.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +71.6% | -89.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +166.2% | -94.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +14.5% | -33.3% |
Risk & Volatility
NATH leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NATH is the less volatile stock with a 0.52 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than RRGB's 2.10 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NATH currently trades 85.4% from its 52-week high vs RRGB's 46.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.52x | 2.10x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $118.50 | $7.89 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $88.67 | $2.46 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +85.4% | +46.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.4 | 46.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 24K | 398K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
NATH is the only dividend payer here at 1.97% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $7.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 38 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.0% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.00 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
NATH leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). RRGB leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
NATH vs RRGB: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NATH or RRGB a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Nathan's Famous, Inc.
(NATH) is the stronger pick with 6. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 1% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). Nathan's Famous, Inc. (NATH) offers the better valuation at 17. 2x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) a "Hold" — based on 38 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — NATH or RRGB?
Over the past 5 years, Nathan's Famous, Inc.
(NATH) delivered a total return of +71. 6%, compared to -89. 5% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NATH returned +166. 2% versus RRGB's -94. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — NATH or RRGB?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Nathan's Famous, Inc.
(NATH) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 52β versus Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. 's 2. 10β — meaning RRGB is approximately 304% more volatile than NATH relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — NATH or RRGB?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Nathan's Famous, Inc.
(NATH) is pulling ahead at 6. 9% versus -3. 1% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. grew EPS 73. 4% year-over-year, compared to 22. 3% for Nathan's Famous, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NATH leads at 8. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — NATH or RRGB?
Nathan's Famous, Inc.
(NATH) is the more profitable company, earning 16. 2% net margin versus -1. 9% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. — meaning it keeps 16. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NATH leads at 24. 6% versus 0. 2% for RRGB. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — RRGB leads at 68. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — NATH or RRGB?
In this comparison, NATH (2.
0% yield) pays a dividend. RRGB does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
07Is NATH or RRGB better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Nathan's Famous, Inc.
(NATH) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 52), 2. 0% yield, +166. 2% 10Y return). Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) carries a higher beta of 2. 10 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NATH: +166. 2%, RRGB: -94. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between NATH and RRGB?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NATH is a small-cap deep-value stock; RRGB is a small-cap quality compounder stock. NATH pays a dividend while RRGB does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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