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NSP vs PAYX vs ADP
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Staffing & Employment Services
Staffing & Employment Services
NSP vs PAYX vs ADP — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Staffing & Employment Services | Staffing & Employment Services | Staffing & Employment Services |
| Market Cap | $1.10B | $32.81B | $83.43B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.81B | $6.03B | $21.60B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-7M | $1.60B | $4.35B |
| Gross Margin | 13.2% | 73.4% | 47.5% |
| Operating Margin | -0.1% | 37.1% | 19.2% |
| Forward P/E | 13.4x | 16.6x | 18.8x |
| Total Debt | $435M | $5.02B | $9.07B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $642M | $1.63B | $3.35B |
NSP vs PAYX vs ADP — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Insperity, Inc. (NSP) | 100 | 55.5 | -44.5% |
| Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) | 100 | 126.4 | +26.4% |
| Automatic Data Proc… (ADP) | 100 | 141.4 | +41.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NSP vs PAYX vs ADP
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NSP is the clearest fit if your priority is dividends.
- 8.2% yield, 3-year raise streak, vs ADP's 2.8%
PAYX is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.39, current ratio 1.28x
- Beta 0.39, yield 4.4%, current ratio 1.28x
- 26.4% margin vs NSP's -0.1%
ADP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 37 yrs, beta 0.37, yield 2.8%
- Rev growth 7.1%, EPS growth 9.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 7.6%
- 185.6% 10Y total return vs PAYX's 130.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.1% revenue growth vs NSP's 3.5% | |
| Value | PEG 1.58 vs 1.95 | |
| Quality / Margins | 26.4% margin vs NSP's -0.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.37 vs NSP's 1.06, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 8.2% yield, 3-year raise streak, vs ADP's 2.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -29.6% vs NSP's -52.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.7% ROA vs NSP's -0.3% |
NSP vs PAYX vs ADP — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
NSP vs PAYX vs ADP — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PAYX leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ADP is the larger business by revenue, generating $21.6B annually — 3.6x PAYX's $6.0B. PAYX is the more profitable business, keeping 26.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NSP's -0.1%. On growth, PAYX holds the edge at +18.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.8B | $6.0B | $21.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $35M | $2.6B | $4.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$7M | $1.6B | $4.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$309M | $2.1B | $5.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +13.2% | +73.4% | +47.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -0.1% | +37.1% | +19.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -0.1% | +26.4% | +20.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -4.5% | +34.1% | +23.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.4% | +18.3% | +7.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.0% | -3.5% | +10.5% |
Valuation Metrics
NSP leads this category, winning 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 20.0x trailing earnings, PAYX trades at a 4% valuation discount to ADP's 20.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), ADP offers better value at 1.75x vs PAYX's 2.34x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.1B | $32.8B | $83.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $890M | $36.2B | $89.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -159.72x | 19.95x | 20.76x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 13.43x | 16.63x | 18.76x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 2.34x | 1.75x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 25.44x | 14.98x | 15.11x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.16x | 5.89x | 4.06x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 23.75x | 8.01x | 13.69x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 18.65x | 17.49x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ADP leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ADP delivers a 68.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $69 in annual profit, vs $-8 for NSP. PAYX carries lower financial leverage with a 1.22x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NSP's 9.46x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ADP scores 8/9 vs NSP's 2/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -7.7% | +41.1% | +68.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -0.3% | +9.7% | +6.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | +30.9% | +47.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -1.6% | +30.1% | +50.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 9.46x | 1.22x | 1.46x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$207M | $3.4B | $5.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $642M | $1.6B | $3.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $435M | $5.0B | $9.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.29x | 10.38x | 13.33x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ADP leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ADP five years ago would be worth $11,949 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,788 for NSP. Over the past 12 months, ADP leads with a -29.6% total return vs NSP's -52.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ADP at 1.6% vs NSP's -32.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -24.0% | -14.9% | -17.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -52.3% | -35.8% | -29.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -69.0% | -3.0% | +4.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -52.1% | +7.3% | +19.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +47.3% | +130.2% | +185.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -32.3% | -1.0% | +1.6% |
Risk & Volatility
ADP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ADP is the less volatile stock with a 0.37 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NSP's 1.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ADP currently trades 62.8% from its 52-week high vs NSP's 39.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.06x | 0.39x | 0.37x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $72.23 | $161.24 | $329.93 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $18.57 | $85.45 | $188.16 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +39.8% | +56.7% | +62.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.1 | 52.6 | 56.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 977K | 3.9M | 3.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NSP and ADP each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: NSP as "Hold", PAYX as "Hold", ADP as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 69.0% upside for NSP (target: $49) vs 20.2% for ADP (target: $249). For income investors, NSP offers the higher dividend yield at 8.24% vs ADP's 2.83%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $48.60 | $112.14 | $249.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 8 | 30 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +8.2% | +4.4% | +2.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 3 | 14 | 37 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.37 | $4.00 | $5.87 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.7% | +0.3% | +1.5% |
ADP leads in 3 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). PAYX leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 1 tied.
NSP vs PAYX vs ADP: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NSP or PAYX or ADP a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
(ADP) is the stronger pick with 7. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 5% for Insperity, Inc. (NSP). Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) offers the better valuation at 20. 0x trailing P/E (16. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Insperity, Inc. (NSP) a "Hold" — based on 8 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NSP or PAYX or ADP?
On trailing P/E, Paychex, Inc.
(PAYX) is the cheapest at 20. 0x versus Automatic Data Processing, Inc. at 20. 8x. On forward P/E, Insperity, Inc. is actually cheaper at 13. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Automatic Data Processing, Inc. wins at 1. 58x versus Paychex, Inc. 's 1. 95x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NSP or PAYX or ADP?
Over the past 5 years, Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
(ADP) delivered a total return of +19. 5%, compared to -52. 1% for Insperity, Inc. (NSP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ADP returned +185. 6% versus NSP's +47. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NSP or PAYX or ADP?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
(ADP) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 37β versus Insperity, Inc. 's 1. 06β — meaning NSP is approximately 182% more volatile than ADP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 122% versus 9% for Insperity, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NSP or PAYX or ADP?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
(ADP) is pulling ahead at 7. 1% versus 3. 5% for Insperity, Inc. (NSP). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Automatic Data Processing, Inc. grew EPS 9. 7% year-over-year, compared to -107. 5% for Insperity, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ADP leads at 7. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NSP or PAYX or ADP?
Paychex, Inc.
(PAYX) is the more profitable company, earning 29. 7% net margin versus -0. 1% for Insperity, Inc. — meaning it keeps 29. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PAYX leads at 39. 6% versus -0. 1% for NSP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PAYX leads at 72. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NSP or PAYX or ADP more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 58x versus Paychex, Inc. 's 1. 95x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Insperity, Inc. (NSP) trades at 13. 4x forward P/E versus 18. 8x for Automatic Data Processing, Inc. — 5. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NSP: 69. 0% to $48. 60.
08Which pays a better dividend — NSP or PAYX or ADP?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Insperity, Inc. (NSP) offers the highest yield at 8. 2%, versus 2. 8% for Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP).
09Is NSP or PAYX or ADP better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
(ADP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 37), 2. 8% yield, +185. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ADP: +185. 6%, NSP: +47. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NSP and PAYX and ADP?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NSP is a small-cap income-oriented stock; PAYX is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; ADP is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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